World Football Elo Ratings


The World Football Elo Ratings is a ranking system for men's national association football teams that is published by the website eloratings.net. It is based on the Elo rating system but includes modifications to take various football-specific variables into account, like the margin of victory, importance of a match, and home field advantage. Other implementations of the Elo rating system are possible and there is no single nor any official Elo ranking for football teams.
Since being developed, the Elo rankings have been found to have the highest predictive capability for football matches. FIFA's official rankings, both the FIFA World Rankings for men and the FIFA Women's World Rankings are based on a modified version of the Elo formula, the men's rankings having switched away from FIFA's own system for matches played since June 2018.

Top 100

The following table shows the top 100 teams in the World Football Elo Ratings as they were on 2 April 2020, using data from the World Football Elo Ratings web site.
Each national team's FIFA World Ranking is shown as per the latest release on 9 April 2020.
AFCCAFCONCACAFCONIFACONMEBOLOFCUEFA

Elo
Rank
1 Year
Change
TeamElo
Rating
FIFA
Rank
1 220841
2 120823
3 120472
420288
5201714
6 319867
7 1198510
8 6196913
9 319679
9 119675
11 5196515
12 719564
13 219216
14 6190511
15 4189812
16 3189116
17186621
18 2186417
19 2185524
20 6183025
21 4180717
22 10179438
23 4179129
24 1179019
25 3178323
26 10177929
27 3177141
28 3176620
29 41174635
30 4174428
31 12174126
32 10173933
33 7173841
34 4173645

Elo
Rank
1 Year
Change
TeamElo
Rating
FIFA
Rank
35 1173432
36 3173034
37 7172722
38 5172663
39 5172344
40 5171242
41 4171131
42 7170137
43 3168539
44 21168349
45 3167836
46 17167055
47 6166143
48 6165346
49 1164758
50 3164150
51 1163346
52 9163062
53 5162270
53 4162227
55 1161952
56 1161761
57 4160854
58 10160173
59 8159576
60 1158551
60 11158548
60 7158564
63 4158053
64 9156685
65 151561115
66 11156059
67 12155886
68 3155472

Elo
Rank
1 Year
Change
TeamElo
Rating
FIFA
Rank
69 7155191
70 2154668
71 9153893
71 3153856
73 281534100
74 9153372
75 7153166
76 3152959
77 14152364
78 18152177
79 1152087
80 16151881
81 12150556
82 2150181
83 31486122
84 7148469
85 21483130
85 11148379
87 2147597
88 41467101
89 15146482
90 2146075
90 13146083
92 11456
93 71451102
94 7144971
95 41446
96 71434104
96 6143474
98 25143291
99 2142988
100 21424
101 31416147
102 23141480

List of number-one teams

The following is the list of nations who have achieved the number-one position in the World Football Elo Ratings since the first international match in 1872:
Start DateNation# of
days
30 Nov 1872
4 Mar 1876
2 Apr 1892
20 Jul 1902
6 Jun 1908
5 Jun 1914
10 Jun 1914 /
6 Jun 1915
8 Oct 1916
28 Aug 1920
29 Aug 1920
5 Sep 1920
18 Sep 1920
9 Oct 1921
25 May 1924
18 Jul 1925
17 Apr 1926 /
20 Oct 1926
24 Oct 1926
29 May 1928
30 May 1928
16 Jun 1929
28 Sep 1929 /
1 Nov 1929
27 May 1934
7 Jun 1934
5 Dec 1937
5 Jun 1938
25 Feb 1940
18 Jul 1940
1 Dec 1940
26 Jan 1941
29 Jan 1941
19 Apr 1942
25 May 1942
28 Mar 1943 /
4 Apr 1943
11 Jul 1943 /
6 Jan 1945
11 Feb 1945
15 Feb 1945
7 Jul 1945
11 Nov 1945 /
16 Dec 1945
20 Dec 1945
10 Feb 1946
11 May 1947 /
9 Nov 1947
9 Oct 1948
9 Apr 1949

Start DateNation# of
days
25 Jun 1950
29 Jun 1950
20 Sep 1952
14 Dec 1952 /
26 Apr 1953
17 May 1953
3 Apr 1957
6 Apr 1957
12 Jun 1957
15 Sep 1957
23 Sep 1957
6 Oct 1957
12 Jun 1958 /
15 Jun 1958
10 Mar 1960
13 Mar 1960
29 Apr 1960
26 May 1960
29 May 1960
31 Mar 1963
11 Oct 1964
25 Nov 1964
4 Jul 1965
29 Aug 1965
7 Sep 1965
15 May 1966
18 May 1966
5 Jun 1966
12 Jul 1966
25 Jul 1966
30 Jul 1966
7 Jun 1970
18 Jun 1972 /
28 Jun 1972
9 Jul 1972 /
15 Nov 1972
14 Feb 1973
13 Jun 1974
22 Jun 1974
3 Jul 1974
1 Jun 1978
7 Jun 1978
10 Jun 1978
11 Jun 1978
14 Jun 1978
31 Oct 1979
7 Jan 1981
10 Jan 1981
22 Mar 1981
1 Apr 1981

Start DateNation# of
days
15 May 1981
14 Oct 1981
14 Jun 1982
13 Oct 1983
12 Sep 1984
2 May 1985
12 Jun 1985
11 Sep 1985
22 Jan 1986
25 Jun 1986
28 Jun 1986
29 Jun 1986
10 Jun 1987
3 Jul 1987
29 Aug 1987
11 Nov 1987
31 Mar 1988 /
2 Apr 1988
12 Jun 1988
17 Jun 1988
18 Jun 1988
25 Jun 1988
10 Jun 1990 /
12 Jun 1990
19 Jun 1990
24 Jun 1990
18 Jun 1992
21 Jun 1992
26 Jun 1992
9 Sep 1992
14 Oct 1992
16 Oct 1992
19 Jun 1993
24 Jun 1994
27 Jun 1994
9 Jul 1994
16 Jun 1996
19 Jun 1996 /
23 Jun 1996
10 Jun 1997
25 Jun 1998
27 Jun 1998
29 Jun 1998
3 Jul 1998
12 Jul 1998
8 Jun 1999
16 Jun 2000
21 Jun 2000
25 Jun 2000
6 Jun 2002

Start DateNation# of
days
7 Jun 2002
8 Jun 2002
11 Jun 2002
21 Jun 2002
12 Feb 2003
11 Jun 2003 /
19 Jun 2003
10 Sep 2003
27 Jun 2004
1 Jul 2004
18 Aug 2004
4 Jun 2005
8 Jun 2005
29 Jun 2005
9 Oct 2005
12 Oct 2005
4 Jul 2006
16 Aug 2006
7 Oct 2006
6 Feb 2007
7 Feb 2007
27 Jun 2007
11 Jul 2007
15 Jul 2007
13 Jun 2008
21 Jun 2008
24 Jun 2009
29 May 2010 /
2 Jun 2010
3 Jun 2010
7 Jun 2010 /
8 Jun 2010
15 Jun 2010 /
16 Jun 2010
2 Jul 2010
7 Jul 2010
30 Jun 2013
14 Aug 2013
12 Oct 2013
28 Jun 2014 /
29 Jun 2014
4 Jul 2014
29 May 2016
10 Nov 2016
5 Oct 2017
10 Nov 2017
15 Jul 2018
11 Oct 2018
16 Nov 2019

Ranking by matches played as leader

NationGamesDays as
leader
First date
as leader
Last date
as leader
3158,49612 Jun 195815 Nov 2019
15410,60530 Nov 187211 Jun 1988
1394,70425 Jul 19669 Nov 2017
1239,16520 Jul 19029 Nov 2016
782,86928 Aug 192011 Oct 2013
732,02212 Sep 198410 Oct 2018
571,89720 Sep 195212 Mar 1960
425,9664 Mar 187619 Oct 1926
412,6947 Jun 193415 Aug 2006
411,36721 Mar 196324 Jun 1988
371,79429 Aug 192015 Jun 1929
321,0391 Jun 19783 Jul 2014
66765 Jun 19147 Oct 1916
31127 May 19346 Jun 1934
2827 Jun 20047 Jun 2005
116 Nov 2019current

All-time team highs and lows

The following is a list of national football teams ranked by the highest Elo rating they ever reached. The table also includes the highest ranking as well as the lowest rating and ranking reached by each nation. The team that has achieved the highest rank in each confederation is shown in color.
RankNationHigh rating
High rating
date
High rank
Low rating
/ low rank
Low rating
date
12231 30 Jun 19541st 1527 / 75th19 Nov 2003
22223 13 Jul 20141st 1639 / 24th26 Sep 1920
32212 9 Sep 19121st 1790 / 17th31 Mar 1928
42194 17 Jun 19621st 1813 / 20th24 Sep 1922
52165 11 Jul 20101st 1800 / 19th25 Jun 1969
62159 3 Apr 19571st 1750 / 26th8 Jun 1990
72154 12 Jul 20141st 1550 / 53rd24 Oct 1954
82137 30 May 20011st 1506 / 40th18 May 1930
92132 11 Jun 19391st 1604 / 22nd29 Aug 1920
102108 13 Jun 19281st 1635 / 44th5 Sep 1979
112104 10 Mar 18881st 1600 / 64th26 Mar 2005
12 2088 23 Jul 19661st 1449 / 49th14 Sep 1913
132084 19 Nov 20191st 1498 / 70th29 Mar 1936
142082 1 Sep 19742nd 1526 / 61st26 Aug 1956
152077 25 Jun 19161st 1536 / 61st24 May 1967
162068 31 May 19341st 1550 / 73rd2 Sep 2011
172041 26 Jun 20162nd 1384 / 60th6 Jul 1916
182037 27 Jun 20041st 1670 / 46th4 Sep 2017
192035 28 Jun 20143rd 1304 / 101st13 Mar 1957
202022 28 Jul 19662nd 1619 / 42nd7 Nov 1962
212012 2 Jun 19492nd 1577 / 45th28 May 1922
22 2010 10 Jun 19623nd 1515 / 47th10 Apr 1927
232005 11 Jul 19985th 1781 / 26th6 Sep 2015
241993 22 Jun 19744th 1419 / 80th24 Oct 1954
251985 9 Jun 20164th 1495 / 48th19 Jul 1930
261954 21 Feb 19545th 1617 / 44th12 Aug 1962
271945 9 Jun 19905th 1503 / 48th1 Sep 1935
28 1932 23 Mar 20199th 1490 / 56th29 Feb 1920
291930 18 Aug 20047th 1277 / 84th19 Jun 1936
301928 13 Jun 20008th 1364 / 86th2 Jul 1916
31 1919 18 Jun 19948th 1538 / 64th10 Oct 1971
321916 3 Jun 201810th 1486 / 76th20 Jan 1935
331915 17 Nov 201512th 1184 / 121th25 Apr 1949
34 1905 20 May 19813rd 1403 / 84th3 Feb 1900
351899 19 Jun 200310th 1381 / 72nd1 Aug 1937
361896 15 Jun 19697th 1320 / 71st10 May 1931
361896 15 Aug 20018th 1214 / 115th27 Aug 1927
381890 3 Sep 20059th 1417 / 89th24 Aug 1975
381890 25 Mar 196510th 1526 / 68th16 Jan 1953
40 1880 14 Dec 199711th 1472 / 76th29 Nov 1965

RankNationHigh rating
High rating
date
High rank
Low rating
/ low rank
Low rating
date
41 1874 4 Jan 196310th 1393 / 108th9 Sep 2007
421868 26 Jan 201315th 1497 / 75th9 Jan 1983
431867 13 Nov 20149th 1495 / 73rd22 Mar 1983
441862 30 Oct 196610th 1428 / 100th14 Jun 2004
45 1852 26 Jun 200314th 1453 / 81st31 Jan 1964
46 1850 24 Apr 198614th 1397 / 111th11 Oct 2013
471846 15 Nov 201314th 1536 / 70th29 Mar 1995
481844 19 Jul 196610th 1313 / 131st8 Jul 2019
491843 22 Jun 200215th 1446 / 79th7 Aug 1967
501841 9 Oct 201718th 1256 / 125th29 Aug 1973
511839 24 Jan 201918th 1461 / 77th11 Dec 1959
521828 22 Jun 201918th 1212 / 125th19 Aug 1938
531827 5 Jun 200416th 1500 / 72nd27 De 1964
541818 11 Mar 197618th 1512 / 87th24 Mar 2013
55 South Africa 1817 9 Jul 19068th 1453 / 96th2 Sep 2006
561812 16 Jun 200221st 1391 / 105th28 Oct 1994
571807 7 Jun 201320th 1499 / 80th7 Sep 2002
581793 25 Jun 199721st 1244 / 84th20 Jul 1930
591789 5 Sep 200123rd 14 Dec 196919th 1392 / 112th5 Sep 2010
61 1776 1 Sep 201717th 1578 / 67th7 Oct 2011
621774 5 Jun 197722nd 1307 / 128th1 Jun 1996
631772 1 Feb 201924th 964 / 161st16 Mar 1974
631772 16 Oct 199425th 1435 / 91st12 Feb 2001
651770 11 Apr 197623rd 1426 / 81st1 May 1954
661764 13 Sep 195915th 757 / 213th7 Jun 2016
671761 26 Jan 200624th 1436 / 86th23 Sep 1987
681758 14 Nov 200127th 1516 / 76th19 Aug 1998
691755 13 Oct 200121st 1444 / 93rd29 Aug 1992
701754 24 Jul 201328th 1153 / 142nd22 Apr 1971
711752 3 Dec 198224th 1452 / 98th6 Oct 2016
72 1746 27 Mar 200214th 1246 / 120th16 Jun 1961
731733 7 Dec 199828th 1181 / 137th6 Apr 1966
741732 4 Jun 200025th 1488 / 90th19 Nov 2013
751729 29 Jul 199930th 1239 / 128th11 Apr 1976
761725 25 Mar 201134th 1559 / 72nd4 Sep 2016
771720 6 Apr 199430th 1414 / 106th5 Nov 2016
781715 4 Jun 197123rd 1230 / 155th16 Oct 2018
791703 9 Feb 199838th 1214 / 135th16 Mar 1990
801692 15 Jan 201537th 982 / 163rd3 Apr 1979

Average ratings

Time averaged Elo or Elo-like scores are routinely used to compare chess player strengths.

Highest average ratings since 1970

This table is a list of the national teams with the highest average Elo score since 1 January 1970, i.e. over approximately the last half century. Before this time intercontinental play was fairly limited and many nations in Africa, North America, and Asia had played too few games yet to create a representative Elo score. Only those teams are displayed that started playing before 1970 and played the entire period without a 5 year or longer interruption. Some excluded strong national football teams, like East-Germany and Croatia, appear in the decades tables below.
RankCountryAvg Elo
12048.9
2 2018.6
31959.8
41958.0
51954.1
61953.1
71940.8
81928.3
9 1873.4
101863.1
11 1858.4
12 1844.1
131830.4
141817.0
151814.9

RankCountryAvg Elo
161813.3
171811.5
181804.5
191803.5
201769.6
211765.8
221758.7
231752.8
241739.1
251734.0
261731.0
271727.8
281717.6
291711.2
301697.4

RankCountryAvg Elo
311692.3
321691.3
331687.9
341683.0
351681.8
361673.3
371669.9
381669.0
391663.0
401651.9
411645.3
421643.4
431643.1
441639.1
451638.7

RankCountryAvg Elo
461628.6
471628.4
481616.4
491610.9
501602.1
511596.7
521585.7
531582.9
541581.6
551578.8
561576.2
571557.0
581553.7
591550.5
601549.8

Averages by decade

The tables below shows the teams with the best average Elo score per decade. Only those teams are displayed that had played before the start of the decade and played at least ten games in the decade.

Highest average over entire team history

The eloratings.net website presents the average ratings since the first international match of each team. Such averages can not really be compared to each other, as they represent strengths over different periods and in different pools. For example, they represent years of matches for , years for , years for , and years for . For and the average is dominated by the single rating during the 50 years between the few games played between 1940 and 1943 and the rebirth of the countries in the 1990s. Likewise, 's average is mostly determined by the 44 matches played in the 86 years before it rejoined FIFA in 1992.
RankCountryAvg EloTrend
11995
21983
31981
41938
51911
61907
71880
91876
91876
101859
111840
121839
131810
141797
151795

RankCountryAvg EloTrend
161783
161782
181776
181776
201755
211742
221741
231724
241723
251719
261709
271695
281685
291681
301680

RankCountryAvg EloTrend
311674
321671
321671
341666
351664
361658
371653
381652
391651
401649
411647
421639
421639
441637
451632

RankCountryAvg EloTrend
461626
471625
481620
491614
501613
511611
521606
521606
541605
551603
561602
571596
581594
591592
601582

Highest rated matches

A list of the 25 matches between teams with the highest combined Elo ratings.
RankCombined
points
Nation 1Elo 1Nation 2Elo 2ScoreDateOccasionLocation
14287220320841–0 aet2014-07-13World Cup Final Rio de Janeiro
14287222320642–42014-09-03Friendly Düsseldorf
34278223020482–31954-07-04World Cup Final Bern
44263213621271–0 aet2010-07-11World Cup Final Johannesburg
54245218420614–21912-07-04Olympic Games Final Stockholm
64242212021221–72014-07-08World Cup SF Belo Horizonte
74238211421240–11973-06-16Friendly Berlin
84236208621503–02013-06-30Confederations Cup Final Rio de Janeiro
94224220820164–21954-06-30World Cup SF Lausanne
104223210421190–12018-03-27Friendly Berlin
114218218020384–21954-06-27World Cup QF Bern
124207207721302–12010-07-02World Cup QF Port Elizabeth
134200208321170–02011-06-04Friendly Goiânia
144199208821111–01982-03-21Friendly Rio de Janeiro
154198206021381–11977-06-12Friendly Rio de Janeiro
164197212320742–11974-07-07World Cup Final Munich
174191216620253–11962-06-17World Cup Final Santiago
174191213520560–11978-04-05Friendly Hamburg
194187213220554–11970-06-21World Cup Final Mexico City
204179211020691–02010-07-07World Cup SF Durban
204179209620830–02014-07-09World Cup SF São Paulo
224177207621011–21998-03-25Friendly Stuttgart
234173209720761–11975-05-17Friendly Frankfurt
244172210420681–01974-07-03World Cup 2nd round Frankfurt
254168214120173–01911-10-21Friendly London

Biggest upsets

This is a list of matches with the biggest point exchange. Since the importance of the match, the goal differential and the perceived home team advantage are factored in the exchange, these are not necessarily the most surprising wins as expressed by the difference in Elo rating.
The nations' points before the matches are given.
RankPoint
exchange
Nation 1Elo 1Nation 2Elo 2ScoreDateOccasionLocation
198167618458–11924-05-29Olympic Games Paris
292182419917–11928-06-04Olympic Games Amsterdam
2921397 *16554–01948-08-02Olympic Games Walthamstow
487147820413–11920-08-28Olympic Games Antwerp
584 *167719193–01924-05-29Olympic Games Paris
584185520036–11958-06-15World Cup Helsingborg
783117115234–01980-02-23OFC Nations Cup Nouméa
882160620052–02006-06-17World Cup Cologne
981212021221–72014-07-08World Cup Belo Horizonte
10801642 *156716–01912-07-01Olympic Games Solna
10801604 *16687–01954-06-20World Cup Geneva
1080148117834–01973-12-14CONCACAF Championship Port-au-Prince
1080167720442–02018-06-27World Cup Kazan
1478168520543–01929-11-01Copa América Buenos Aires
1478158719573–01937-01-10Copa América Buenos Aires
1677181321623–01959-12-12Copa América Guayaquil
1677191220903–01998-07-04World Cup Lyon
1876190617140–21936-08-07Olympic Games Berlin
1876171714911–41946-03-10CCCF Championship San José
1876188817880–52009-07-26CONCACAF Gold Cup East Rutherford
2175175920445–31948-08-05Olympic Games London
2175133616463–01967-01-28Copa América Montevideo
2175198621095–12014-06-13World Cup Salvador
2474180020324–01987-07-03Copa América Córdoba
25735117587–02012-09-09Caribbean Cup qualifier Fort-de-France

*The initial ratings may be partially responsible for the high point exchange. The national teams of China, Egypt, Russia, and South Korea had played only 18, 3, 2, and 18 international matches before their respective upsets. China had only yet played against East Asian teams.

Elo Ratings before each World Championship

Champions
Runners-up
Third place
Fourth place
Not qualified / not entered
Disqualified / withdrew

History and overview

The Elo system, developed by Hungarian-American mathematician Árpád Élő, is used by FIDE, the international chess federation, to rate chess players, and by the European Go Federation, to rate Go players. In 1997, Bob Runyan adapted the Elo rating system to international football and posted the results on the Internet. He was also the first maintainer of the World Football Elo Ratings web site, currently maintained by Kirill Bulygin. Other implementations of the Elo rating system are possible but the Runyan system is the best known.
The Elo system was adapted for football by adding a weighting for the kind of match, an adjustment for the home team advantage, and an adjustment for goal difference in the match result.
The factors taken into consideration when calculating a team's new rating are:
The different weights of competitions in descending order are:
The ratings consider all official international matches for which results are available. Ratings tend to converge on a team's true strength relative to its competitors after about 30 matches. Ratings for teams with fewer than 30 matches are considered provisional.

Comparison with other systems

A 2009 comparative study of eight methods found that the implementation of the Elo rating system described below had the highest predictive capability for football matches, while the men's FIFA ranking method performed poorly.
The FIFA World Rankings is the official national teams rating system used by the international governing body of football. The FIFA Women's World Rankings system has used a modified version of the Elo formula since 2003. In June 2018, the FIFA ranking switched to an Elo-based ranking as well, starting from the current FIFA rating points. The major difference between the World Football Elo Rating and the new men's FIFA rating system is that the latter does not consider goal differential and counts a penalty shoot-out as a win/loss rather than a draw; thus, a 7:0 blowout is considered equal to a 7:6 penalty shoot-out win. The FIFA method is also less sensitive to the difference in ratings and more sensitive to match status. Finally, World Football Elo Ratings considers all official international matches for which results are available, including those involving "unaffiliated" teams that are not a member of FIFA.

Calculation principles

The ratings are based on the following formulae:
where
Where;
"Points Change" is rounded to the nearest integer before updating the team rating.

Status of match

The status of the match is incorporated by the use of a weight constant. The constant reflects the importance of a match, which, in turn, is determined entirely by which tournament the match is in; the weight constant for each major tournament is:
Tournament or Match typeK
World Cup, Olympic Games 60
Continental championship and intercontinental tournaments50
World Cup and Continental qualifiers and major tournaments40
All other tournaments30
Friendly matches20

The FIFA adaptation of the Elo rating will feature 8 weights, with the knockout stages in the World Cup weighing 12x more than some friendly matches.

Number of goals

The number of goals is taken into account by use of a goal difference index.
If the game is a draw or is won by one goal
If the game is won by two goals
If the game is won by three or more goals:
Table of examples:
Goal Difference0+1+2+3+4+5+6+7+8+9+10
G111.51.751.87522.1252.252.3752.52.625

Result of match

W is the result of the game. This also holds when a game is won or lost on extra time. If the match is decided on penalties, however, the result of the game is considered a draw.

Expected result of match

We is the expected result from the following formula:
where dr equals the difference in ratings. So dr of 0 gives 0.5, of 120 gives 0.666 to the higher-ranked team and 0.334 to the lower, and of 800 gives 0.99 to the higher-ranked team and 0.01 to the lower.
The FIFA adaptation of the Elo rating does not incorporate a home team advantage and has a larger divisor in the formula, making the points exchange less sensitive to the rating difference of two teams.

Examples for clarification

The same example of a three-team friendly tournament on neutral territory is used as on the FIFA World Rankings page. Beforehand team A had a rating of 630 points, team B 500 points, and teams C 480 points.
The first table shows the points allocations based on three possible outcomes of the match between the strongest team A, and the somewhat weaker team B:
When the difference in strength between the two teams is less, so also will be the difference in points allocation. The next table illustrates how the points would be divided following the same results as above, but with two roughly equally ranked teams, B and C, being involved:
Team B drops more points by losing to Team C, which has shown about the same strength, than by losing to Team A, which has been considerably better than Team B.