Statewide opinion polling for the 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries
This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Democratic primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. Given the large number of potential candidates, the scores of certain low-polling and infrequently-polled candidates have been combined within the "other" column; their exact scores may be viewed by viewing the footnotes associated with each poll. The polls included are among Democrats or Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, and do not include Republican-leaning independents. The statewide polls are ordered by the scheduled date of the state's primary or caucus. Open-ended polls are included and marked with an asterisk, but closed-ended versions of such polls are listed where possible. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version used for debate qualification is prioritized, then the version among likely voters, then registered voters, then adults.
Background
The Democratic National Committee has determined that candidates may qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations published after January 1, 2019 up until June 12, 2019, or by a fundraising threshold requiring at least 65,000 unique donors with at least 200 in 20 different states. Should more than 20 candidates meet either threshold, then candidates meeting both thresholds will be given highest priority for entry into the debates, followed by those with the highest polling average and those with the most donors. The pollsters and sponsors of polls designated for consideration by the DNC are the Associated Press, ABC News, CBS News, CNN, The Des Moines Register, Fox News, the Las Vegas Review-Journal, Monmouth University, NBC News, The New York Times, National Public Radio, Quinnipiac University, Reuters, the University of New Hampshire, USA Today, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, and Winthrop University. Open-ended polls do not count towards the polling threshold. For the third and fourth primary debates, candidates will be required to meet both polling and fundraising thresholds, with the prior considering only polls between June 28 and August 28, 2019 and increased to 4 qualifying polls at 2% support, now excluding surveys sponsored by the Las Vegas Review-Journal and Reuters; the latter requirement has also been increased, to 130,000 unique donors with at least 400 in 20 different states. Individuals who have been included in national Democratic primary polls but have either ruled out their candidacy or not expressed interest in running include Stacey Abrams, Michael Avenatti, Sherrod Brown, Hillary Clinton, Mark Cuban, Andrew Cuomo, Al Franken, Eric Garcetti, Tim Kaine, Jason Kander, Joe Kennedy III, John Kerry, Mitch Landrieu, Terry McAuliffe, Chris Murphy, Gavin Newsom, Michelle Obama, Howard Schultz, Oprah Winfrey, and Mark Zuckerberg.
Polling in the four early primary states
The following Morning Consult weekly poll archive graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each candidate in the early primary states since February 2019.
Polling for Super Tuesday
The following Morning Consult graph depicts the evolution of the standing of each candidate in the March 3, 2020 Super Tuesday states since January 7, 2020.
Primary and caucus calendar
The following dates reflect either the confirmed or expected dates of Democratic primaries and caucuses in 2020. Those for contests in U.S. territories with no date yet set are based on dates estimated by The Green Papers based on past years. The pledged delegate numbers listed below are based on the presidential votes in 2008, 2012, and 2016, as well as the number of electoral votes of each state in 2020. The number of DNC members and distinguished party leaders in the count of unpledged PLEO delegates is based on the 2016 Democratic National Convention, while the number of unpledged officeholders reflects their current total. The numbers of pledged delegates do not yet account for delegate bonuses or penalties from timing or clustering. States listed with a lavender background and an asterisk do not yet have a date set by existing statute. States with a light yellow background and a dagger are set to shift their primary or caucus date following the expected passage of legislation moving the dates of their contests. If not already listed as such, the date to which the contest is expected to be moved is listed in parentheses. Party-run primaries are listed with two asterisks.
Iowa caucus
The Iowa Democratic caucus was held on February 3, 2020.
The Nevada Democratic caucus was held on February 22, 2020.
South Carolina primary
The South Carolina Democratic primary was held on February 29, 2020.
Alabama primary
The Alabama Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Arkansas primary
The Arkansas Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
California primary
The California Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Colorado primary
The Colorado Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Maine primary
The Maine Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Massachusetts primary
The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Minnesota primary
The Minnesota Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
North Carolina primary
The North Carolina Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Oklahoma primary
The Oklahoma Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Tennessee primary
The Tennessee Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Texas primary
The Texas Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Utah primary
The Utah Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Vermont primary
The Vermont Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Virginia primary
The Virginia Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020.
Idaho primary
The Idaho Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.
Michigan primary
The Michigan Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.
Mississippi primary
The Mississippi Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.
Missouri primary
The Missouri Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.
North Dakota caucus
The North Dakota Democratic caucus is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.
Washington primary
The Washington Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 10, 2020.
Arizona primary
The Arizona Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.
Florida primary
The Florida Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.
Illinois primary
The Illinois Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020.
Wisconsin primary
The Wisconsin Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on April 7, 2020.
Ohio primary
The Ohio Democratic primary was originally scheduled to take place on March 17, 2020. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the primary was delayed. Initially, the Governor suggested the primary be held on June 2, 2020, however, further deliberations resulted in the legislature and Governor agreeing on suspending in-person voting, and selecting a mail-in ballot deadline of April 28, 2020.
Kansas primary
The Kansas Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 2, 2020.
Oregon primary
The Oregon Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on May 19, 2020.
Delaware primary
The Delaware Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020, but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.
Indiana primary
The Indiana Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on May 5, 2020, but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.
Maryland primary
The Maryland Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020, but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and will instead occur on June 2, 2020.
Montana primary
The Montana Democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.
The New Mexico democratic primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020.
Pennsylvania primary
The Pennsylvania Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020, but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for June 2, 2020.
Georgia primary
The Georgia Democratic primary was originally scheduled to take place on March 24, 2020, but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, first to May 19, 2020, and then further delayed to June 9, 2020.
New York primary
The New York Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020, but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for June 23, 2020.
New Jersey primary
The New Jersey Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on June 2, 2020, but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, and is instead scheduled for July 7, 2020.
Connecticut primary
The Connecticut Democratic primary was scheduled to take place on April 28, 2020, but was delayed due to the COVID-19 pandemic, first to June 2, 2020, and then further delayed to August 11, 2020.
