Nigerian energy supply crisis


The Nigerian energy supply crisis refers to the ongoing failure of the Nigerian power sector to provide adequate electricity supply to domestic households and industrial producers despite a rapidly growing economy, some of the world's largest deposits of coal, oil and gas and the country's status as Africa's largest oil producer. Currently only 40% of Nigeria's population is connected to the energy grid whilst power supply difficulties are experienced around 60% of the time. At best, average daily power supply is estimated at four hours, although several days can go by without any power at all. Neither power cuts nor restorations are announced, leading to calls for a load shedding schedule during the COVID-19 lockdowns to aid fair distribution and predictability.
Power supply difficulties cripple the agricultural, industrial and mining sectors and impede the Nigeria's ongoing economic development. The energy supply crisis is complex, stems from a variety of issues and has been ongoing for decades. Most Nigerian businesses and households that can afford to do so run one or more diesel-fueled generators to supplement the intermittent supply.
Since 2005, Nigerian power reforms have focused on privatizing the generator and distribution assets and encouraging private investment in the power sector. The government continues to control transmission assets whilst making "modest progress" in creating a regulatory environment attractive to foreign investors. Minor increases in average daily power supply have been reported.

Background

Until the power sector reforms of 2005, power supply and transmission was the sole responsibility of the Nigerian federal government.
As of 2012, Nigeria generated approximately 4,000 - 5,000 megawatts of power for a population of 150 million people as compared with Africa's second largest economy, South Africa, which generated 40,000 megawatts of power for a population of 62 million. An estimated 14 - 20 gigawatts of power is provided by private generators to make up for the shortfall. Nigeria has a theoretical capacity of more than 10,000 megawatt generation capacity using existing infrastructure, but has never reached close to that potential.
96% of industry energy consumption is produced off-grid using private generators.
Issues affect all areas of the sector, from generation to transmission to distribution.
Currently the only plan the government has in place to help solve the energy crisis is to expand the fossil fuel burning sector. Alternative forms of energy are not used probably because of availability of oil in Nigeria, as it has the world’s seventh largest oil reserves.

History of the Power Sector

Power Generators

The most efficient location for new power plants is the Niger Delta region due to the easy access to the sources of energy needed to run the plants.

Transmission Network

Post-reforms the transmission network continues to be government owned and operated and remains the weakest link in the power sector supply chain. Transmission lines are old and at the point of system collapse on any given day. Even should more power be generated, the transmission network is unable to carry any additional power loading. Designed for a peak capacity of only 3,000 to 3,500MW per day breakdown of the lines is a daily occurrence. Lack of maintenance and security challenges in parts of the country only add to the difficulties.

Current State of Energy Production

Currently Nigeria uses four different types of energy: natural gas, oil, hydro and coal The energy sector is heavily dependent on petroleum as a method for electricity production which has slowed down the development of alternative forms of energy. Three out of the four above resources used for energy production in Nigeria are linked with increasing greenhouse gas emissions: coal, oil and natural gas, with coal emitting the worst of the three.
See table below for summary of the environmental impacts of the sources of electricity.
Percent of resource used for electricity productionCoal Oil Natural Gas Hydro
BenefitsNigeria has a large natural supply of this fossil fuel making it relativity easy to access and it would be the cheapest resource to develop into energy plants.Nigeria has the seventh largest supply of oil in the world and this makes it readily available for use as a source for electricity.Natural gas is now being mined by unconventional means which seems to have greenhouse gas emissions then former means of production. It has less greenhouse gas emissions then coal as wellHydro is more environmentally friendly because it uses a renewable resource that is associated with less greenhouse emissions after initial development.
Environmental ImpactsBlack carbon emissions are shown to have detrimental effects on the environment because of their light absorbing qualities. The theory is that when black carbon lands on snow and ice, the reflective properties of ice are decreased and more melting occurs.Environmental impacts of oil production can be measured by the energy needed to produce and refine the oil, pipeline sabotage and spills from local residents resulting in water, air and land pollution. This does not even account for the emissions created from burning the oil afterward.Conventional and unconventional mining of natural gas potentially leaks large amounts of methane into the atmosphere which is a strong greenhouse gas emitterCarbon dioxide an methane are emitted from the area holding the water because of the vegetation decay in the area, especially in the first ten years. So for the amount of electricity generated, sometimes the amount of carbon emitted is the same.
BarriersCurrent policy discourages carbon emissions in Nigeria and there is a movement towards cleaner energy.The barriers are all in relation to the lack of control that Nigeria has over the area where the oil is produced, causing a lack of access.No barriers to natural gas as it is easy cheap to produce and Nigeria has a large supply of it.Hydro power disrupts the water levels of the river and would cause tension with the neighbours of Nigeria. Post building some of the dams flood the surrounding communities.

According to the World Commission on Environment and Development the importance of sustainability in energy is: the ability to preserve its use, the importance of energy in living standards and for economic development and the significant impacts that energy systems and processes have had and continue to have on the environment. Nigeria needs to invest in sustainable resources because of the obvious signs that it will be strongly impacted by environmental change such as: desertification, droughts, flooding, and water shortages. The biggest blow to Nigeria would be the low-lying areas that contain many of their natural resources being flooded if ocean levels rise as predicted.
Since further development of hydro-electricity does not seem practical because of the dependence on the seasons for amount of water supply. Wind energy has potential, but is unreliable for consistent energy supply. Nuclear energy could be a viable solution to the energy problem because of its lack of emissions and reliability. Nigeria also has easy access to the uranium needed for the plants.

Environmental Solutions

In light of all this, there is a lot of literature surrounding different proposals of what might be done to help Nigeria develop their potential for renewable electricity. Development of the renewable sources energy is important for the future of world. Nigeria has been in an energy crisis for a decade despite numerous attempts to reform the energy sector. The only thing that remains is to figure out which energy source is most practical for Nigeria.
Development of hydro-electricity does not seem practical because of the dependence on the seasons for amount of water supply as well as the amount of greenhouse gases it emits in the first 10 years of being built. Wind energy has potential, but is unreliable for consistent energy supply.
Two fields of arguments:
Nuclear EnergyWind Energy
BenefitsIncreased amount of electricity would be generated, which would grow the local economy. Less greenhouse gas emissions than fossil fuels and hydro power.Wind is shown to be the cleanest form of energy production.
BarriersGovernment corruption has led to the cancelling of multiple nuclear energy development contracts.
  • The power plant currently proposed would output around 10% of the country’s power which is twice as much as recommended.
  • Nuclear energy also requires a stable energy grid to be maintained and that independent off site power is needed, which Nigeria does not have.
  • Proposed sites for plants are in unstable areas where the Nigerian government does not have control of the workings of the militant groups.
.		Commercial energy production based on wind is limited because of variation in seasons and the speed of the winds
  • Relativity cheap because of cost reduction every year
  • Areas that had high potential for wind turbines are in the north part of Nigeria, which is the area with the least development of the power grid.

The most practical solution was mentioned by Gujba, Mulugetta and Azapagic,. The authors of this article suggested that a harmonization of different forms of energy take place. In their sustainable development scenario they suggested some reliance on renewable energy sources and a slow change from fossil fuels to the renewable energy sources. Since the rural areas are further from the electricity grid and most currently do not have power, each area would become a little hub where they would produce their own power by whatever resource was closest. For example, in the northern areas the mini-grids would work off of wind and solar power energy. Hydropower development would have to increase in order for this to be successful.
Winkler, Howells and Baumert talk about envisioning where a country wants to end up before the development of energy resources. This is a great perspective about how to fix the energy crisis because taking the big picture into account before the development of the sector could include things outside of simply fixing the energy crisis such as: poverty eradication, job creation, reducing carbon emissions etc. Fixing the energy supply will solve many problems such as the over pricing of electricity due to the loss of the electricity within the grid