Gallagher index


The Gallagher index "measures an electoral system’s relative disproportionality between votes received and seats allotted in a legislature." As such, it measures the difference between the percentage of votes each party gets and the percentage of seats each party gets in the resulting legislature, and it also measures this disproportionality from all parties collectively in any one given election. That collective disproportionality from the election is given a precise score, which can then be used in comparing various levels of proportionality among various elections from various electoral systems.
Michael Gallagher, who created the index, referred to it as a "least squares index", inspired by the sum of squares of residuals used in the method of least squares. The index is therefore commonly abbreviated as "LSq" even though the measured allocation is not necessarily a least squares fit. The Gallagher index is computed by taking the square root of half the sum of the squares of the difference between percent of votes and percent of seats for each of the political parties.
The division by 2 gives an index whose values range between 0 and 100. The larger the differences between the percentage of the votes and the percentage of seats summed over all parties, the larger the Gallagher index. The larger the index value the larger the disproportionality and vice versa. Michael Gallagher included "other" parties as a whole category, and Arend Lijphart modified it, excluding those parties. Unlike the well-known Loosemore–Hanby index, the Gallagher index is less sensitive to small discrepancies.

Attention gained in Canada

The Gallagher index gained considerable attention in Canada in December 2016 in the context of efforts to reform Canada's electoral system. The Special Committee on Electoral Reform recommended "that the Government should, as it develops
a new electoral system, use the Gallagher index in order to minimize the
level of distortion between the popular will of the electorate and the
resultant seat allocations in Parliament." The committee recommended that "the government should seek to
design a system that achieves a Gallagher score of 5 or less." In the 2015 Canadian federal election, the Gallagher index was 12.02, where 0 would be a perfectly proportional election outcome.

Examples of calculating disproportionality

New Zealand

This table uses the New Zealand 2005 election result. Note that since New Zealand uses the MMP voting system, voters have two votes. This list uses the party vote, which determines the proportionality of the House; the electorate vote determines the local member.
Thus the disproportionality of the 2005 New Zealand election is 1.13, which is very low by international standards.
Note that the Māori Party has the highest difference, which is significantly above the others. This is due to New Zealand's system of reserved seats for Māori. The Māori seats are allocated by votes on a separate electoral roll, and while any party can contest these seats, they have historically been won by either the Māori Party, the Labour Party, or New Zealand First.

Australia

This table uses for example the 2012 Queensland state election, one of the largest landslides in Australian electoral history. Queensland uses preferential voting in a single member system, which tends to result in far less proportionality compared to New Zealand's MMP system, especially for larger minor parties, such as The Greens or, historically, the Australian Democrats. The 2012 Queensland election had an extremely high Gallagher Index, at 31.16, due to the massive landslide in seats for the victorious LNP. Most recent Australian state and federal elections however score between 10 and 12.

Sweden

The disproportionality of the 2018 Swedish general election was 0.63 according to the Gallagher index, which is extremely low by international standards, due to Sweden's use of the modified Sainte-Laguë method in elections to the Riksdag.

Republic of Ireland

The disproportionality of the 2020 Irish general election was 3.17 according to the Gallagher index. The Republic of Ireland uses the single transferable vote system with Droop quota in elections to the Dáil Éireann.

United States

This table uses the aggregate results of the 2016 elections to the United States House of Representatives. These 435 single-seat elections are winner-take-all, which would tend to create disproportionate results, but this is moderated by the extremely high share of votes obtained by the two major parties—more than 97%.

Brazil

This table uses the results of the 2018 Brazilian general election. The 513 seats are contested in statewide districts via open list proportional representation.
Party% of votesSeats won% of seatsDifferenceDifference²
PSL11.655210.141.512.295
PT10.305610.92-0.620.383
PSDB6.01295.650.350.124
PSB5.85346.63-0.780.611
MDB5.57377.21-1.642.689
PRB5.53346.63-1.101.203
PSD5.48326.24-0.760.578
PL5.31336.43-1.121.254
PP5.08305.85-0.770.595
PDT4.66295.65-0.990.989
DEM4.62285.46-0.840.698
PSOL2.83101.950.880.777
NOVO2.7981.561.241.525
PODE2.28112.140.140.019
PROS2.0881.560.520.268
PTB2.06101.950.110.012
SD1.99132.53-0.550.300
AVANTE1.8871.360.510.261
PSC1.8081.560.240.056
PV1.6240.780.840.704
PPS1.6281.560.060.003
PATRI1.4650.970.480.232
PHS1.4561.170.280.079
PCdoB1.3591.75-0.400.162
PRP0.8740.780.090.007
REDE0.8310.190.640.404
PRTB0.7000.000.700.485
PTC0.6430.580.060.004
PPL0.6120.390.220.049
DC0.3910.190.200.039
PMN0.3810.190.180.033
PMB0.2300.000.230.054
PCB0.0600.000.060.004
PSTU0.0400.000.040.002
PCO0.0000.000.000.000
100531100Total16.898
Total/28.449
Gallagher Index2.91

Other indices

The Sainte-Laguë method is considered by Gallagher to be "probably the soundest of all the measures." This is closely related to the Pearson's chi-squared test which has better statistical underpinning.