Effects of nuclear explosions on human health
The medical effects of the atomic bomb on Hiroshima upon humans can be put into the four categories below, with the effects of larger thermonuclear weapons producing blast and thermal effects so large that there would be a negligible number of survivors close enough to the center of the blast who would experience prompt/acute radiation effects, which were observed after the 16 kiloton yield Hiroshima bomb, due to its relatively low yield:
- Initial stage—the first 1–9 weeks, in which are the greatest number of deaths, with 90% due to thermal injury and/or blast effects and 10% due to super-lethal radiation exposure.
- Intermediate stage—from 10–12 weeks. The deaths in this period are from ionizing radiation in the median lethal range - LD50
- Late period—lasting from 13–20 weeks. This period has some improvement in survivors' condition.
- Delayed period—from 20+ weeks. Characterized by numerous complications, mostly related to healing of thermal and mechanical injuries, and if the individual was exposed to a few hundred to a thousand Millisieverts of radiation, it is coupled with infertility, sub-fertility and blood disorders. Furthermore, ionizing radiation above a dose of around 50-100 Millisievert exposure has been shown to statistically begin increasing a person's chance of dying of cancer sometime in their lifetime over the normal unexposed rate of c. 25%, in the long term, a heightened rate of cancer, proportional to the dose received, would begin to be observed after c. 5+ years, with lesser problems such as eye cataracts and other more minor effects in other organs and tissue also being observed over the long term.
Staying indoors until after the most hazardous fallout isotope, I-131 decays away to 0.1% of its initial quantity after ten half-lives – which is represented by 80 days in the care of I-131 case, would make the difference between likely contracting thyroid cancer or escaping completely from this substance depending on the actions of the individual.
Some scientists estimate that if there were a nuclear war resulting in 100 Hiroshima-size nuclear explosions on cities, it could cause significant loss of life in the tens of millions from long term climatic effects alone. The climatology hypothesis is that if each city firestorms, a great deal of soot could be thrown up into the atmosphere which could blanket the earth, cutting out sunlight for years on end, causing the disruption of food chains, in what is termed a nuclear winter scenario.
Blast effects — the initial stage
Immediate post-attack period
The main causes of death and disablement in this state are thermal burns and the failure of structures resulting from the blast effect. Injury from the pressure wave is minimal in contrast because the human body can survive up to 2 bar while most buildings can only withstand a 0.8 bar blast. Therefore, the fate of humans is closely related to the survival of the buildings around them.Fate within certain peak overpressure
- over 0.8 bar - 98% dead, 2% injured
- 0.3 - 0.8 bar - 50% dead, 40% injured, 10% safe
- 0.14 - 0.3 bar - 5% dead, 45% injured, 50% safe
Types of radioactive exposure after a nuclear attack
- Thermal burns from infrared heat radiation, these would be the most common burn type experienced by personnel.
- If people come in direct contact with fallout, beta burns from shallow ionizing beta radiation will be experienced, the largest particles in local fallout would be likely to have very high radioactivity because they would be deposited so soon after detonation; this fraction of the total fallout is called the prompt or local fallout fraction. It is likely that one such particle upon the skin would be able to cause a localized beta burn. This local fallout, termed Bikini snow after the Pacific island weapon tests, was experienced by the crew on the deck of the Lucky Dragon fishing ship following the explosion of the 15 megaton Shrimp device in the Castle Bravo event. However, these particular decay particles are very weakly penetrating and have a short range, requiring almost direct contact between fallout and personnel to be harmful.
- Rarer still would be personnel who experience radiation burns from highly penetrating gamma radiation. This would likely cause deep gamma penetration within the body, which would result in uniform whole body irradiation rather than only a surface burn. In cases of whole body gamma irradiation due to accidents involving medical product irradiators, some of the human subjects have developed injuries to their skin between the time of irradiation and death.
There is also the risk of internal radiation poisoning by ingestion of fallout particles, if one is in a fallout zone.
Radiation poisoning
Radiation poisoning, also called "radiation sickness" or a "creeping dose", is a form of damage to organ tissue due to excessive exposure to ionizing radiation. The term is generally used to refer to acute problems caused by a large dosage of radiation in a short period, though this also has occurred with long-term exposure to low-level radiation. Many of the symptoms of radiation poisoning occur as ionizing radiation interferes with cell division. There are numerous lethal radiation syndromes, including prodromal syndrome, bone marrow death, central nervous system death and gastrointestinal death.Prodromal syndrome
The “prodromal syndrome” is not a diagnosis, but the technical term used by health professionals to describe a specific group of symptoms that may precede the onset of an illness. For example, a fever is “prodromal” to measles, which means that a fever may be a risk factor for developing this illness.Bone marrow death
death is caused by a dose of radiation between 2 and 10 Gray and is characterized by the part of the bone marrow that makes the blood being broken down. Therefore, production of red and white blood cells and platelets is stopped due to loss of the blood-making stem cells. The loss of platelets greatly increases the chance of fatal hemorrhage, while the lack of white blood cells causes infections; the fall in red blood cells is minimal, and only causes mild anemia.The exposure to 4.5 Gray of penetrating gamma rays has many effects that occur at different times:
In 24 hours:
- vomiting
- diarrhea
Within 3–4 weeks there is a period of extreme illness.
- severe bloody diarrhea, indicating intestinal disorders causing fluid imbalance
- extensive internal bleeding
- sepsis infections
Gastrointestinal death
Gastrointestinal death is caused by a dose of radiation between 10 and 50 Gray. Whole body doses cause damage to epithelial cells lining the gastrointestinal tract and this combined with the bone marrow damage is fatal. All symptoms become increasingly severe, causing exhaustion and emaciation in a few days and death within 7–14 days from loss of water and electrolytes.The symptoms of gastrointestinal death are:
- gastrointestinal pain
- anorexia
- nausea
- vomiting
- diarrhea
Central nervous system death
The symptoms are:
- vomiting
- nausea
- diarrhea
- drowsiness
- lethargy
- tremors
- delirium
- frequent seizures
- convulsions
- heat prostration
- coma
- respiratory failure
- death
Short-term effects (6–8 weeks)
Skin
The skin is susceptible to beta-emitting radioactive fallout. The principal site of damage is the germinal layer, and often the initial response is erythema due to blood vessels congestion and edema. Erythema lasting more than 10 days occurs in 50% of people exposed to 5-6 Gray.Other effects with exposure include:
- 2–3 Gray—temporary hair loss
- 7 Gray—permanent epilation occurs
- 10 Gray—itching and flaking occurs
- 10–20 Gray—weeping blistering and ulceration will occur
Lungs
Radiation pneumonitis is characterized by:
- Loss of epithelial cells
- Edema
- Inflammation
- Occlusions of airways, air sacs and blood vessels
- Fibrosis
Ovaries
Testicles
A dose of 0.1 Gray will cause low sperm counts for up to a year; 2.5 Gray will cause sterility for 2 to 3 years or more. 4 Gray will cause permanent sterility.Long-term effects
Cataract induction
The timespan for developing this symptom ranges from 6 months to 30 years to develop but the median time for developing them is 2–3 years.- 2 Gray of gamma rays cause opacities in a few percent
- 6-7 Gray can seriously impair vision and cause cataracts
Cancer induction
- 2 years for leukemia to appear
- 20 or more years for skin cancer or lung cancer
''In utero'' effects on human development
Transgenerational genetic damage
Exposure to even relatively low doses of radiation generates genetic damage in the progeny of irradiated rodents. This damage can accumulate over several generations.No statistically demonstrable increase of congenital malformations was found among the later conceived children born to survivors of the Nuclear weapons at Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
The surviving women of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, that could conceive, who were exposed to substantial amounts of radiation, went on and had children with no higher incidence of abnormalities than the Japanese average.
Infectious diseases resulting from nuclear attack
It was assumed in the 1983 book Medical Consequences of Radiation Following a Global Nuclear War that, although not caused by radiation, one of the long-term effects of a nuclear war would be a massive increase in infectious diseases caused by fecal matter contaminated water from untreated sewage, crowded living conditions, poor standard of living, and lack of vaccines in the aftermath of a nuclear war, with the following list of diseases being cited:- Dysentery
- Typhoid
- Infectious hepatitis
- Salmonellosis
- Cholera
- Meningococcal meningitis
- Tuberculosis
- Diphtheria
- Whooping cough
- Polio
- Pneumonia
There would be billions of disease carrying vectors, in the form of city residents, lying deceased in cities caused by the direct nuclear weapons effects alone, with the surviving few billion people spread out in rural communities living agrarian lifestyles, with the survivors therefore posing a way of living far less prone to creating the crowded slum living conditions required for infectious diseases to spread. Moreover, as reported in a paper published in the journal Public Health Reports, it is also one of a number of prevalent myths that infectious diseases always occur after a disaster in cities.