Demographics of Bulgaria


The demography of the Republic of Bulgaria is monitored by the National Statistical Institute of Bulgaria.
This article is about the demographic features of the population of Bulgaria, including population density, ethnicity, education level, health of the populace, economic status, religious affiliations and other aspects of the population.
Bulgaria has a very high Human Development Index of 0.813, ranking 51st in the world in 2018 and holds the 38th position in Newsweek's rankings of the world's best countries to live in, measuring health, education, political environment and economic dynamism.

Demographic history

Various estimates have put Bulgaria's medieval population at 1.1 million in 700 AD and 2.6 million in 1365. At the 2011 census, the population inhabiting Bulgaria was 7,364,570 in total, but more recent estimates calculate that the population has declined to 6.9 million. The peak was in 1989, the year when the borders opened after a half of a century of communist regime, when the population numbered 9,009,018.

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Vital statistics

Vital Statistics 1875 to 1915

The total fertility rate is the number of children born per woman. It is based on fairly good data for the entire period. Sources: Our World In Data and Gapminder Foundation.
Years187518761877187818791880
Total Fertility Rate in Bulgaria5.165.054.954.844.734.62

Years1891189218931894189518961897189818991900
Total Fertility Rate in Bulgaria5.244.824.695.095.455.555.75.285.455.67

Years19111912191319141915
Total Fertility Rate in Bulgaria5.525.485.455.425.39

Vital statistics 1900–1915

Average populationLive birthsDeathsNatural changeCrude birth rate Crude death rate Natural change
19003,710,000157,00084,00073,00042.322.619.7
19013,740,000141,00087,00054,00037.723.314.4
19023,800,000149,00091,00058,00039.223.915.3
19033,850,000159,00088,00071,00041.322.918.4
19043,910,000167,00084,00083,00042.721.521.2
19054,000,000174,00087,00087,00043.521.821.8
19064,100,000179,00091,00088,00043.722.221.5
19074,150,000180,00092,00088,00043.422.221.2
19084,200,000169,000102,00067,00040.224.316.0
19094,280,000173,000113,00060,00040.426.414.0
19104,350,000180,000100,00080,00041.423.018.4
19114,400,000176,00094,00082,00040.021.418.6
19124,430,000185,00091,00094,00041.820.521.2
19134,200,000108,000122,000-14,00025.729.0-3.3
19144,240,000191,00088,000103,00045.020.824.3
19154,280,000172,00085,00087,00040.219.920.3

Vital statistics 1916–1940

Average populationLive birthsDeathsNatural changeCrude birth rate Crude death rate Natural change Total fertility rates
19164,660,00099,00097,0002,00021.220.80.45.38
19174,690,00081,00099,000-18,00017.321.1-3.85.37
19184,740,000100,000152,000-52,00021.132.1-11.05.36
19194,790,000157,00097,00060,00032.820.312.55.35
19204,850,000193,000104,00089,00039.821.418.45.35
19214,890,000197,000106,00091,00040.321.718.65.27
19225,010,000203,000106,00097,00040.521.219.45.19
19235,090,000192,000108,00084,00037.721.216.55.11
19245,210,000207,000108,00099,00039.720.719.05.03
19255,310,000196,000102,00094,00036.919.217.74.94
19265,420,000203,00093,000110,00037.517.220.34.80
19275,510,000183,000112,00071,00033.220.312.94.65
19285,590,000185,00099,00086,00033.117.715.44.50
19295,670,000173,000103,00070,00030.518.212.34.36
19305,740,000180,00093,00087,00031.416.215.24.05
19315,800,000171,00098,00073,00029.516.912.63.80
19325,884,000186,00096,00090,00031.616.315.34.07
19335,961,000174,00093,00081,00029.215.613.63.76
19346,039,000181,79585,04696,74930.114.116.03.88
19356,102,000160,95189,08671,86526.414.611.83.39
19366,154,000159,14687,72371,42325.914.311.63.33
19376,196,000150,77184,67466,09724.313.710.73.12
19386,244,000142,41585,37357,04222.813.79.12.92
19396,292,000138,88384,15054,73322.113.48.72.81
19406,341,000140,56485,04655,51822.213.48.82.84

Vital statistics 1941 to present

Current vital statistics

In 2016 a total of 64,984 live births were recorded in Bulgaria. The country has a crude birth rate of 9.1‰.
Seventy years ago, Bulgaria had a crude birth rate of 25,6‰. Ethnic Bulgarians had a much lower crude birth rate compared to the two largest minorities: Turks and Roma. However, it is unlikely that this difference continued since then, as birth rates in the Balkan countries dropped sharply.
Bulgaria has a low total fertility rate of 1.54 children per woman. This is up significantly from the late 1990s, but still below replacement and not enough to prevent further population decline, especially with emigration. Provinces with large Roma populations tend to have higher fertility rates compared to other areas, whereas Turkish fertility is similar to the Bulgarian majority.
ProvinceTFR TFR TFR TFR TFR
Northwest Region1.531.72 1.72 1.75 1.77
Vidin1.501.45 1.58 1.68 1.65
Vratsa1.461.77 1.68 1.81 1.83
Lovech1.581.66 1.79 1.89 1.84
Montana1.521.74 1.65 1.67 1.62
Pleven1.561.80 1.79 1.71 1.81
North Central Region1.321.45 1.45 1.45 1.43
Veliko Tarnovo1.191.40 1.43 1.34 1.27
Gabrovo1.431.41 1.49 1.58 1.69
Razgrad1.371.491.48 1.65 1.60
Ruse1.341.40 1.37 1.41 1.30
Silistra1.491.77 1.71 1.55 1.76
Northeast Region1.531.50 1.48 1.49 1.52
Varna1.571.45 1.44 1.44 1.47
Dobrich1.441.531.51 1.44 1.56
Targovishte1.671.59 1.57 1.63 1.61
Shumen1.421.54 1.45 1.53 1.51
Southeast Region1.671.82 1.88 1.84 1.87
Burgas1.541.631.65 1.61 1.69
Sliven1.952.24 2.34 2.27 2.35
Stara Zagora1.641.73 1.80 1.76 1.72
Yambol1.701.98 2.00 2.13 2.06
Southwest Region1.421.36 1.38 1.38 1.42
Blagoevgrad1.461.46 1.45 1.50 1.62
Kyustendil1.331.63 1.75 1.76 1.95
Pernik1.351.621.66 1.73 1.68
Sofia1.451.74 1.73 1.80 1.91
Sofia 1.391.27 1.29 1.26 1.28
South Central Region1.501.61 1.65 1.65 1.66
Kardzhali1.491.64 1.66 1.70 1.74
Pazardzhik1.581.72 1.75 1.85 1.81
Plovdiv1.491.56 1.60 1.61 1.60
Smolyan1.331.45 1.47 1.40 1.49
Haskovo1.531.701.75 1.62 1.71
Bulgaria1.491.541.56 1.56 1.58

Regional differences

As of 2017, the municipality of Nikolaevo has the highest crude birth rate with 18.6‰, followed by Tvarditsa and Kaynardzha. All these municipalities have relatively large Romani populations.
On the other hand, the municipalities of Georgi Damyanovo, Banite and Nevestino have a extremely low birth rates. These municipalities are almost exclusively inhabited by ethnic Bulgarians.

Teenage pregnancy

Bulgaria has one of the highest share of teenage pregnancy in Europe. Nevertheless, this number is declining rapidly in recent years.
The ten municipalities with the largest absolute number of teenage mothers are: Sliven, Sofia, Plovdiv, Pazardzhik, Stara Zagora, Nova Zagora, Burgas, Yambol, Haskovo and Varna.

Life expectancy at birth

Average life expectancy at age 0 of the total population.
PeriodLife expectancy in
Years
1950–195562.33
1955–1960 66.78
1960–1965 70.28
1965–1970 70.91
1970–1975 71.07
1975–1980 71.10
1980–1985 71.24
1985–1990 71.39
1990–1995 71.11
1995–2000 70.97
2000–2005 72.19
2005–2010 73.13
2010–2015 74.25
2016–2018 74.83

Kardzhali Province and Sofia City have the highest life expectancy with 76.6 years for both sexes. The lowest life expectancy is recorded in the Northwestern provinces like Montana, Vratsa and Vidin.

Infant mortality rate

Projections

The following forecast for the future population is an official estimate of the National Statistical Institute of Bulgaria.

Demographic statistics

Demographic statistics according to the World Population Review.
Demographic statistics according to the CIA World Factbook, unless otherwise indicated.
;Population:
;Ethnic groups:
;Languages:
;Religions:
;Age structure:
;Median age:
;Birth rate:
;Death rate:
;Total fertility rate:
;Net migration rate:
;Population growth rate:
;Mother's mean age at first birth:
;Dependency ratios:
;Urbanization:
.rate of urbanization: -0.22% annual rate of change
;Life expectancy at birth:
;Literacy:
definition: age 15 and over can read and write
;School life expectancy :
;Unemployment, youth ages 15–24:

Demographic policies

The progressive decrease of the Bulgarian population is hindering economic growth and welfare improvement, and the management measures taken to mitigate the negative consequences do not address the essence of the problem. The Government Program for the period 2017 - 2021 is the first one that aims at overturning the trend. The program also identifies the priority means for achieving this goal: measures to increase the birth rate, reduce youth emigration, and build up regulatory and institutional capacity to implement a modern immigration policy tailored to the needs of the Bulgarian business.

Ethnic groups

The censuses in 1880, 1887 and 1892 did not have a question on ethnic affiliation.
The following table shows the ethnic composition of all Provinces of Bulgaria according to the 2011 census:

Languages

The 2001 census defines an ethnic group as a "community of people, related to each other by origin and language, and close to each other by mode of life and culture"; and one's mother tongue as "the language a person speaks best and usually uses for communication in the family ".
According to the 2011 census, among the Bulgarians 99.4% indicate Bulgarian as a mother tongue, 0.3% - Turkish, 0.1% - Roma and 0.1% others; among Turks 96.6% have pointed the Turkish as a mother tongue and 3.2% - Bulgarian; among the Roma 85% indicate Roma language as a mother tongue, 7.5% - Bulgarian, 6.7% - Turkish and 0.6% - Romanian.

Religion

Bulgaria's traditional religion according to the constitution is the Orthodox Christianity, while Bulgaria is a secular state too. Since the last two censuses provide widely divergent results, they are both shown in the table below. It is noteworthy that over a fifth of the population chose not to respond to this question in the 2011 census.
The results of the Bulgarian 2011 Census, in which the indication of answer regarding the question for confession was optional, are as follows:
GroupPopulation% of declared% of total
Orthodoxy4,374,13576.0%59.4%
Undeclared1,606,269-21.8%
Irreligion682,16211.8%9.3%
Islam577,13910.0%7.8%
Protestantism64,4761.1%0.9%
Roman Catholicism48,9450.8%0.7%
Oriental Orthodoxy1,7150.0%0.0%
Jews7060.0%0.0%
Others9,0230.2%0.1%
Figure of percentage-5,758,3017,364,570

The results of the Bulgarian 2001 Census by ethnic groups, the latest census in which the indication of identification in the question for confession was obligatory, are as follows:

Migration

In relation to internal migration, according to the 1910 census, 300,000 or almost 10% of the ethnic Bulgarians were born in another Bulgarian municipality than the one they were enumerated in. The same data shows that the foreign-born ethnic Bulgarians numbered 78,000, or 2% of them, most numerous of whom were the 61,000 Ottoman-born, 9,000 Romanian-born and by less than 2,000 Austro-Hungarian, Serbian and Russian-born. By the 1926 census, there had been 253,000 refugees with granted households and land or citizenship but with many more in towns of uncertain number. 35% came from Eastern Thrace, 30% came from Greek Macedonia, another 18% from Western Thrace, 8% from Dobruja, 4% from the Western Outlands, 3% from Asia Minor, and 2% from North Macedonia. They constituted 6% of the country's population. In 1940, 70,000 Bulgarians were exchanged from Northern Dobruja. The total number of refugees in 1878-1940 is estimated at between 700,000 and 1,200,000.
According to the 2011 census Russian citizens are the most numerous foreigners - 11 991, followed by 8 444 EU citizens, citizens of Ukraine - 3 064, North Macedonia - 1 091, Moldova - 893 and Serbia - 569. 22.8% of them are from Asia, mostly from Turkey. Those with dual Bulgarian and other citizenship were 22 152, or 0.3% of the population. Of them persons with Bulgarian and Russian citizenship were 5 257, followed by persons with Bulgarian and Turkish citizenship - 4 282, Bulgarian and citizenship of the USA- 1 725. There are at least 17,527 Refugees of the Syrian Civil War with applications in Bulgaria. In 2001-2015 185,447 people applied for Bulgarian citizenship and 116,222 were provided with. 113,647 were granted on grounds of proven Bulgarian ancestry, including 59,968 North Macedonia citizens. 29,218 were Moldovan citizens, 5930 Ukrainians, 5374 Serbians, 5194 Russians, 3840 Israeli, 2192 Albanians, 692 Turks and others. In 2016, 12,880 foreigners were naturalized, including 6196 Macedonians.
Population by country of birth:
201120132015
7,290,6667,188,2737,077,389
Total foreign-born78,62196,113123,803
18,72519,53324,416
3,9556,2279,284
1,2501,2988,318
4,9287,3777,166
5,8776,0847,039
2,0833,6385,533
3,0425,0666,738
1,5584,0655,240
6,0455,3804,612
1,0822,2612,830
2,4262,3842,742
1,1802,0232,431
1,8931,9962,363
2,3062,2462,318
2,1521,8711,886
5621,2551,781
1,1961,4431,648
1,4721,4221,565
9701,0671,515
4101,0091,481
8609291,236
9241,0281,186
1,1341,0781,130
2987351,040
2446791,008
Unknown1441661,006

Foreigners by nationality:
20112015
Total36,72365,622
11,99117,943
2,7418,157
7297,508
3,0643,874
2,6053,693
Unknown2,538
1,2532,094
Stateless1,875
1,0911,289
8481,266
1,1671,175
7491,147
8931,018
819978
876
456815
569813
706806
712

Age structure

At the 2011 census the largest decadal age group of the identified as Romani people is the 0–9 years old or 21% of them, the same age group accounted for 10% of the Turks and 7% of the Bulgarians. Experts estimate that the Romani in some provinces make up 40% of all aged between 0 and 9 years. Amongst those who did not answer the question on
ethnic group lowest is the share of people aged 60+ years.
Bulgarian children constitute the majority of all children in 23 out of 28 provinces. They constitute more than ninety percent of all children in two provinces: Sofia and Pernik Province.
Turkish children constitute the majority in Kardzhali Province and Razgrad Province ; they also constitute the largest group of all children in Silistra Province.
Roma children constitute 12% of all children in Bulgaria and more than a quarter in three provinces: Montana, Sliven and Yambol.
Bulgaria is ageing rapidly, especially in some remote rural areas.
The ageing of the population leads to an increase of the median age. The median age is 43.6 as of 2017, up from 40.4 years in 2001.

Sex ratio

Of the total 7,364,570 as of 2011, 3 586 571 are males and 3,777,999 are females, or there are 1053 women for 1,000 men.

Education

Over 98% of the population is literate, the males being more literate than the females.
According to the 2011 census, about 112,778 people aged nine or more are illiterate. There are considerable differences in the share of illiterate persons amongst the three main ethnic groups. Amongst the Bulgarian ethnic group the share of illiterate is 0.5%, amongst the Turkish - 4.7% and amongst the Roma ethnic group - 11.8%. About 81 thousand people aged seven or more never visited school.

Unemployment

The median unemployment for the country in 2011 was 10.1%.
The number of unemployed people declined to 207 thousand people in 2017.
Most unemployed people are aged 15 to 24 years old.
The unemployment rate in rural areas is nearly two times higher than the unemployment rate in urban areas.
Vidin Province has the highest unemployment rate with almost one fifth of its labour force being unemployed. The provinces of Shumen, Silistra and Targovishte have also very high unemployment rates.

Private ownership

According to Eurostat, 82.3% per cent of the population live in privately owned and owner-occupied homes, ranking it as 12th highest in ownership globally. It is down from a recent peak of 87.6% in 2008, and has been steadily falling since. The number of Internet users has increased rapidly since 2000—from 430,000 their number grew to 1.55 million in 2004, and 3.4 million in 2010. Bulgaria has the third-fastest average Broadband Internet speed in the world after South Korea and Romania with an average speed of 1,611 kbit/s. Currently there are three active mobile phone operators—Mtel, Telenor and Vivacom, Mtel is the largest one with 5.2 million users as of 2010, Telenor has 3,9 million as of 2007 and Vivacom over 1 million.

HIV

Bulgaria's HIV rate is among the lowest in the world, being 0.1% or 3,800 infected as of 2009.

Urbanization

Most Bulgarians reside in urban areas. Approximately one-sixth of them live in Sofia, which has a population exceeding 1,200,000 people.

Largest cities