2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin
The 2020 United States presidential election in Wisconsin is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Wisconsin voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin has 10 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee won its bid to host the 2020 Democratic National Convention. The other finalist cities were Houston and Miami.
As of March 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump is the Republican Party's presumptive nominee, being the only viable declared major candidate left. Wisconsin Republican politicians Paul Ryan and Scott Walker both declined to run against Trump. The remaining major declared candidate vying for the Democratic presidential nomination is former Vice President Joe Biden.
Primary elections
Effects of the 2019–20 coronavirus pandemic
Democratic primary
Republican primary
Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary, and thus received all of Wisconsin's 52 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.Candidate | Votes | % | Delegates |
616,782 | 97.87% | 52 | |
Adam Nicholas Paul | 246 | 0.04% | |
Uninstructed | 11,246 | 1.78% | |
Scattering | 1,924 | 0.31% | |
Total | 630,198 | 100% | 52 |
General election
Predictions
Polling
Aggregate pollsDonald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Four-way race
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Jo Jorgensen | Howie Hawkins | Other | Undecided |
Jun 14–19, 2020 | 846 | ± 3.37% | 36% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 15% |
Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Michael Bloomberg | Other | Undecided |
Feb 19–23, 2020 | 686 | – | 45% | 46% | 5% | 4% | |
Feb 12–18, 2020 | 823 | ± 3.4 % | 49% | 41% | 5% | 5% | |
Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 | – | 44% | 43% | – | 12% | |
Dec 3–5, 2019 | 610 | ± 4.1% | 49% | 37% | 10% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Cory Booker | Other | Undecided |
Dec 3–8, 2019 | 652 | – | 47% | 45% | 4% | 4% | |
Nov 13–17, 2019 | 685 | – | 45% | 45% | 5% | 4% |
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Pete Buttigieg | Other | Undecided |
Feb 19–23, 2020 | 686 | – | 45% | 49% | 3% | 2% | |
Feb 11–20, 2020 | 936 | ± 4.0 % | 43% | 45% | – | – | |
Feb 12–18, 2020 | 823 | ± 3.4 % | 49% | 41% | 5% | 5% | |
Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 | – | 43% | 44% | – | 13% | |
Jan 8–12, 2020 | 701 | – | 47% | 45% | 5% | 4% | |
Jan 5–8, 2020 | 1,504 | ± 2.5% | 41% | 42% | 10 | 7% | |
Dec 3–8, 2019 | 652 | – | 47% | 44% | 4% | 4% | |
Dec 3–5, 2019 | 610 | ± 4.1% | 49% | 38% | 8% | 5% | |
Nov 13–17, 2019 | 685 | – | 48% | 40% | 7% | 6% | |
Oct 13–17, 2019 | 657 | – | 44% | 46% | 5% | 4% | |
Jun 11–13, 2019 | 535 | ± 4.3% | 41% | 39% | 20% | – | |
Apr 15–18, 2019 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 44% | – | 16% |
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris | Other | Undecided |
Aug 25–29, 2019 | 672 | – | 46% | 46% | 5% | 4% | |
Apr 15–18, 2019 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 43% | – | 14% | |
Mar 15–17, 2019 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Amy Klobuchar | Other | Undecided |
Feb 19–23, 2020 | 686 | – | 46% | 49% | 3% | 2% | |
Feb 11–20, 2020 | 936 | ± 4.0 % | 43% | 44% | – | – | |
Feb 12–18, 2020 | 823 | ± 3.4 % | 50% | 39% | 5% | 6% | |
Nov 13–17, 2019 | 685 | – | 53% | 36% | 6% | 4% | |
Mar 15–17, 2019 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 50% | 50% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Beto O'Rourke | Other | Undecided |
Apr 15–18, 2019 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 44% | – | 15% | |
Mar 19–21, 2019 | 616 | ± 4.1% | 42% | 45% | 9% | – | |
Mar 15–17, 2019 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 49% | 51% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
Mar 24–29, 2020 | 556 | – | 45% | 48% | 5% | 2% | |
Mar 17–25, 2020 | 822 | ± 3.8% | 46% | 42% | – | 12% | |
Mar 17–19, 2020 | 600 | – | 50% | 43% | – | – | |
Mar 10–11, 2020 | 1,727 | – | 46% | 48% | – | 7% | |
Mar 6–8, 2020 | 459 | – | 40% | 46% | 9% | 5% | |
Mar 5–7, 2020 | 502 | ± 4.7 % | 48% | 42% | – | – | |
Feb 19–23, 2020 | 686 | – | 46% | 50% | 3% | 1% | |
Feb 11–20, 2020 | 936 | ± 4.0 % | 44% | 46% | – | – | |
Feb 12–18, 2020 | 823 | ± 3.4 % | 50% | 43% | 4% | 4% | |
Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 | – | 46% | 45% | – | 9% | |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 500 | ± 4.5 % | 47% | 47% | – | 7% | |
Jan 8–12, 2020 | 701 | – | 47% | 47% | 3% | 1% | |
Jan 5–8, 2020 | 1,504 | ± 2.5% | 42% | 46% | 8% | 4% | |
Dec 3–8, 2019 | 652 | – | 48% | 46% | 4% | 1% | |
Dec 3–5, 2019 | 610 | ± 4.1% | 51% | 38% | 7% | 4% | |
Nov 13–17, 2019 | 685 | – | 49% | 45% | 5% | 1% | |
Oct 13–26, 2019 | 651 | ± 4.4% | 46% | 47% | – | – | |
Oct 13–17, 2019 | 657 | – | 45% | 48% | 4% | 2% | |
Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 1,512 | ± 2.5% | 40% | 45% | 5% | 6% | |
Sep 7–9, 2019 | 534 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 49% | 8% | – | |
Aug 25–29, 2019 | 672 | – | 46% | 48% | 4% | 1% | |
Jun 11–13, 2019 | 535 | ± 4.3% | 40% | 47% | 13% | – | |
Apr 15–18, 2019 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 42% | 49% | – | 9% | |
Apr 14–18, 2019 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 42% | 52% | – | – | |
Mar 19–21, 2019 | 616 | ± 4.1% | 41% | 48% | 7% | – | |
Mar 15–17, 2019 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | – | – |
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
Feb 19–23, 2020 | 686 | – | 47% | 49% | 3% | 2% | |
Feb 11–20, 2020 | 936 | ± 4.0 % | 44% | 46% | – | – | |
Feb 12–18, 2020 | 823 | ± 3.4 % | 51% | 41% | 4% | 4% | |
Jan 8–12, 2020 | 701 | – | 49% | 45% | 5% | 2% | |
Jan 5–8, 2020 | 1,504 | ± 2.5% | 41% | 44% | 9% | 5% | |
Dec 3–8, 2019 | 652 | – | 48% | 46% | 5% | 2% | |
Dec 3–5, 2019 | 610 | ± 4.1% | 50% | 37% | 8% | 5% | |
Nov 13–17, 2019 | 685 | – | 50% | 43% | 4% | 2% | |
Oct 13–26, 2019 | 651 | ± 4.4% | 47% | 45% | – | – | |
Oct 13–17, 2019 | 657 | – | 45% | 50% | 3% | 1% | |
Sep 29 – Oct 2, 2019 | 1,512 | ± 2.5% | 41% | 45% | 5% | 7% | |
Sep 7–9, 2019 | 534 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | 15% | – | |
Aug 25–29, 2019 | 672 | – | 46% | 48% | 4% | 3% | |
Jun 11–13, 2019 | 535 | ± 4.3% | 41% | 41% | 18% | – | |
Apr 15–18, 2019 | 802 | ± 3.5% | 41% | 47% | – | 12% | |
Mar 15–17, 2019 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 48% | 52% | – | – | |
Aug 17–23, 2017 | 603 | ± 4.0% | 37% | 48% | – | 15% |
with Donald Trump, Joe Biden, and Howard Schultz
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Howard Schultz | Undecided |
Mar 15–17, 2019 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 44% | 51% | 4% | – |
with Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders, and Howard Schultz
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Bernie Sanders | Howard Schultz | Undecided |
Mar 15–17, 2019 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 46% | 48% | 5% | – |
with Donald Trump and generic Democrat
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Democrat | Other | Undecided |
Mar 17–25, 2020 | 997 | ± 3.7% | 46.8% | 50.4% | – | 2.8% | |
Feb 6–18, 2020 | 500 | – | 41% | 49% | – | 11% | |
Jan 8–20, 2020 | 1,038 | ± 3.3% | 36.7% | 51.2% | – | 12% | |
Sep 23 – Oct 15, 2019 | 745 | ± 4% | 28% | 41% | – | 21% | |
Aug 9–11, 2019 | 1,966 | ± 2.2% | 45% | 46% | 3% | 6% | |
Apr 23–24, 2019 | 762 | ± 3.6% | 44% | 53% | – | 4% |
with Donald Trump and generic Opponent
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Generic Opponent | Other | Undecided |
Released Apr 7, 2019 | 800 | – | 42% | 57% | 0% | 4% | |
Mar 15–17, 2019 | 775 | ± 3.5% | 45% | 55% | – | – | |
Jan 16–20, 2019 | 800 | – | 39% | 57% | 0% | 4% |