2020 United States presidential election in California
The 2020 United States presidential election in California is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. California voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of California has 55 electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Primary elections
In a departure from previous election cycles, California held its primaries on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020. Early voting began several weeks earlier.Donald Trump secured the Republican nomination on March 17, 2020, defeating several longshot candidates, most notably former Governor Bill Weld. Kamala Harris, the state's junior U.S. Senator, was among the Democratic candidates declared until she dropped out on December 3, 2019. Representative Eric Swalwell from the 15th district was also a Democratic candidate but dropped out of the race on July 8, 2019. Other prominent state figures, including former Governor Jerry Brown, current Governor Gavin Newsom, and Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti have declined to run.
Republican primary
The Republican party's primary campaign has been dominated by a lawsuit over the President's taxes. The suit alleges that the new requirement for several years of a candidate's taxes was unconstitutional and onerous. The law was blocked in September 2019 while State Supreme court heard testimony and made a ruling.As a contingency, the Republican state committee changed its delegate selection process, turning the primary into a mere "beauty contest" and setting up an emergency state convention to Trump’s delegate choices. Should Trump be allowed on the ballot, the convention would be canceled and the so-called "winner-take-most" rules, which require a challenger to get 20% of the vote, would apply.
President Trump was allowed on the ballot, and the contingency convention was canceled.
Democratic primary
Candidates began filing their paperwork on November 4, 2019, and the final list will be announced on December 9.There were major complaints by Democrats there that Joe Biden and Elizabeth Warren were snubbing the state by refusing to attend a forum at the State's "endorsement convention. Early voting began on February 11 and ended the day before primary day.
Libertarian primary
The Libertarian Party of California permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.Green primary
Candidate | Votes | Percentage | National delegates |
Howie Hawkins | 4,202 | 36.2% | 16 estimated |
Dario Hunter | 2,558 | 22.0% | 9 estimated |
Sedinam Moyowasifza-Curry | 2,071 | 17.8% | 8 estimated |
Dennis Lambert | 1,999 | 17.2% | 7 estimated |
David Rolde | 774 | 6.7% | 3 estimated |
Total | 9,656 | 100.00% | 43 |
Other primaries
American Independent primary
The American Independent Party permitted non-affiliated voters to vote in their presidential primary.Peace and Freedom primary
General election
Predictions
Polling
Aggregate pollswith Donald Trump and Joe Biden
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other | Undecided |
May 19–26, 2020 | 1,048 | ± 4.6% | 33% | 57% | 6% | 3% | |
May 18–19, 2020 | 537 | ± 5.4% | 30% | 58% | 5% | 7% | |
May 8–10, 2020 | 800 | ± 3.4% | 29% | 59% | – | 12% | |
Mar 28–29, 2020 | 962 | – | 29% | 67% | – | 3% | |
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3.0% | 26% | 62% | 12% | – | |
Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 | – | 31% | 59% | 4% | 4% | |
Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 | ± 3.3% | 35% | 60% | 3% | 3% | |
Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 | – | 31% | 58% | – | 11% | |
Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 | ± 3.1% | 37% | 57% | – | 6% | |
Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 | ± 3.1% | 30% | 60% | – | 4% | |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.8% | 35% | 59% | – | 6% | |
Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 | ± 3.4% | 36% | 56% | 3% | 5% | |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 32% | 59% | – | 9% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.8% | 32% | 59% | – | 9% | |
Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 64% | – | – | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | – | 11% | |
Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 | ± 2.7% | 27% | 61% | – | 12% | |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 33% | 56% | – | 11% |
with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Bernie Sanders | Other | Undecided |
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3.0% | 28% | 60% | 12% | – | |
Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 | – | 31% | 59% | 6% | 4% | |
Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 | ± 3.3% | 36% | 59% | 3% | 2% | |
Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 | – | 31% | 59% | – | 10% | |
Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 | ± 3.1% | 37% | 58% | – | 6% | |
Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 | ± 3.1% | 31% | 61% | – | 4% | |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.7% | 36% | 59% | – | 5% | |
Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 | ± 3.4% | 38% | 54% | 4% | 4% | |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 60% | – | 7% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.8% | 33% | 59% | – | 8% | |
Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 | ± 3.3% | 38% | 63% | – | – | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 33% | 57% | – | 10% | |
Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 | ± 2.7% | 29% | 62% | – | 9% |
with Donald Trump and Tulsi Gabbard
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Tulsi Gabbard | Undecided |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.8% | 38% | 43% | 19% |
with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Elizabeth Warren | Other | Undecided |
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3.0% | 28% | 60% | 12% | – | |
Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 | – | 32% | 57% | 5% | 6% | |
Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 | ± 3.3% | 37% | 56% | 3% | 4% | |
Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 | – | 33% | 58% | – | 10% | |
Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 | ± 3.1% | 38% | 54% | – | 8% | |
Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 | ± 3.1% | 32% | 59% | – | 4% | |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.8% | 39% | 55% | – | 7% | |
Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 | ± 3.4% | 37% | 53% | 4% | 6% | |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 35% | 56% | – | 9% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 55% | – | 12% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 56% | – | 8% | |
Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 61% | – | – | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 35% | 53% | – | 12% | |
Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 | ± 2.7% | 30% | 58% | – | 12% | |
Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 53% | – | 14% |
with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Michael Bloomberg | Other | Undecided |
Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 | 1,100 | ± 3.0% | 25% | 51% | 24% | – | |
Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 | – | 32% | 51% | 10% | 7% | |
Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 | ± 3.3% | 35% | 55% | 4% | 5% | |
Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 | – | 30% | 54% | – | 16% | |
Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 | ± 3.1% | 34% | 59% | – | 7% | |
Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 | ± 3.1% | 31% | 57% | – | 6% | |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.8% | 36% | 56% | – | 8% | |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 50% | – | 16% |
with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Amy Klobuchar | Other | Undecided |
Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 | – | 31% | 59% | 7% | 7% | |
Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 | ± 3.3% | 35% | 55% | 4% | 6% | |
Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 | – | 30% | 57% | – | 13% | |
Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 | ± 3.1% | 37% | 52% | – | 11% | |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.8% | 38% | 50% | – | 11% |
with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Pete Buttigieg | Other | Undecided |
Feb 26–28, 2020 | 1,507 | – | 33% | 54% | 8% | 6% | |
Feb 22–26, 2020 | 951 | ± 3.3% | 35% | 56% | 4% | 4% | |
Feb 20–25, 2020 | 5,526 | – | 30% | 58% | – | 12% | |
Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 | ± 3.1% | 36% | 56% | – | 8% | |
Feb 1–15, 2020 | 1,200 | ± 3.1% | 31% | 57% | – | 6% | |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.8% | 37% | 53% | – | 10% | |
Dec 4–8, 2019 | 1,011 | ± 3.4% | 36% | 53% | 4% | 7% | |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 52% | – | 14% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 32% | 54% | – | 13% | |
Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 | ± 2.8% | 30% | 53% | – | 17% |
with Donald Trump and Tom Steyer
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Tom Steyer | Undecided |
Feb 13–16, 2020 | 1,196 | ± 3.1% | 38% | 54% | 9% | |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.8% | 37% | 53% | 10% |
with Donald Trump and Deval Patrick
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Deval Patrick | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 34% | 34% | 32% |
with Donald Trump and Andrew Yang
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Andrew Yang | Undecided |
Jan 14–16, 2020 | 1,967 | ± 2.8% | 37% | 53% | 10% |
with Donald Trump and Cory Booker
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Cory Booker | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 39% | 26% |
with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Kamala Harris | Undecided |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 35% | 56% | 8% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 57% | 8% | |
Sep 13–16, 2019 | 830 | ± 3.3% | 39% | 61% | – | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 35% | 53% | 12% | |
Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 | ± 2.7% | 30% | 59% | 12% | |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 54% | 12% | |
Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 33% | 53% | 13% |
with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Beto O'Rourke | Undecided |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 34% | 51% | 15% |
with Donald Trump and Kirsten Gillibrand
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Kirsten Gillibrand | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 33% | 47% | 19% | |
Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 46% | 22% |
with Donald Trump and Jerry Brown
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Jerry Brown | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 54% | 11% |
with Donald Trump and Sherrod Brown
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Sherrod Brown | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
with Donald Trump and Eric Garcetti
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Eric Garcetti | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 34% | 49% | 17% | |
Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 46% | 21% |
with Donald Trump and Tom Hanks
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Tom Hanks | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 34% | 51% | 15% | |
Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 31% | 56% | 14% |
with Donald Trump and Eric Holder
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Eric Holder | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 38% | 26% |
with Donald Trump and Mitch Landrieu
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Mitch Landrieu | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 36% | 29% |
with Donald Trump and Michelle Obama
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Michelle Obama | Undecided |
Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 | ± 2.7% | 28% | 64% | 8% | |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 57% | 8% |
with Donald Trump and Oprah Winfrey
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Oprah Winfrey | Undecided |
Aug 1–5, 2019 | 2,184 | ± 2.7% | 28% | 57% | 14% | |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 35% | 52% | 13% | |
Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 56% | 12% |
with Donald Trump and Mark Zuckerberg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Donald Trump | Mark Zuckerberg | Undecided |
Mar 22–25, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.8% | 36% | 42% | 22% | |
Jan 7–9, 2018 | 909 | ± 3.3% | 31% | 50% | 19% |
with Mike Pence and Joe Biden
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Joe Biden | Undecided |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 29% | 59% | 12% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.8% | 30% | 58% | 13% | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 27% | 58% | 15% |
with Mike Pence and Michael Bloomberg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Michael Bloomberg | Undecided |
Nov 20-22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 32% | 48% | 20% |
with Mike Pence and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Pete Buttigieg | Undecided |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 48% | 17% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 34% | 45% | 21% |
with Mike Pence and Bernie Sanders
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Bernie Sanders | Undecided |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 31% | 59% | 9% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.8% | 31% | 58% | 10% | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 31% | 57% | 13% |
with Mike Pence and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Elizabeth Warren | Undecided |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 53% | 13% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 55% | 12% | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 33% | 50% | 16% |
with Nikki Haley and Joe Biden
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Nikki Haley | Joe Biden | Undecided |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 21% | 56% | 23% | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 21% | 56% | 24% |
with Nikki Haley and Pete Buttigieg
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Nikki Haley | Pete Buttigieg | Undecided |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 24% | 44% | 32% |
with Nikki Haley and Bernie Sanders
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Nikki Haley | Bernie Sanders | Undecided |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.8% | 23% | 58% | 19% | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 24% | 56% | 19% |
with Nikki Haley and Elizabeth Warren
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Nikki Haley | Elizabeth Warren | Undecided |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 23% | 52% | 24% | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 25% | 49% | 26% |
with Mike Pence and Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Kamala Harris | Undecided |
Nov 20–22, 2019 | 2,039 | ± 2.4% | 34% | 54% | 12% | |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 33% | 55% | 12% | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 34% | 51% | 15% |
with Mike Pence and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Mike Pence | Beto O'Rourke | Undecided |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 34% | 47% | 20% |
with Nikki Haley and Kamala Harris
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Nikki Haley | Kamala Harris | Undecided |
Oct 15–16, 2019 | 1,242 | ± 3.9% | 23% | 52% | 25% | |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 24% | 51% | 25% |
with Nikki Haley and Beto O'Rourke
Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin | Nikki Haley | Beto O'Rourke | Undecided |
Sep 13–15, 2019 | 1,785 | ± 3.2% | 25% | 44% | 30% |