2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election
The 2019 Mississippi gubernatorial election took place on November 5, 2019, to choose the next Governor of Mississippi. Incumbent Governor Phil Bryant was ineligible to run for a third term due to term limits. The Democratic Party nominated incumbent Attorney General Jim Hood, the only Democrat holding statewide office in Mississippi; the Republican Party nominated incumbent Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves. In the general election, Reeves defeated Hood in the general election by a margin of 5.08%, making this the closest gubernatorial election in Mississippi since 1999.
Background
Situated in the Deep South, Mississippi is one of the most Republican states in the country. No Democrat has been elected to the governorship since Ronnie Musgrove in 1999. However, the state's Democratic Attorney General, Jim Hood, who has held his office since 2004 and had yet to lose a statewide election, put the Republican's winning streak of four elections in a row to the test, as the race became unusually competitive. Reeves defeated Hood in the general election by a margin of 5.1%, making this the closest a Democrat had come to winning a Mississippi gubernatorial election since 1999. Hood pulled off the best performance by a Democrat since the 2003 Mississippi gubernatorial election, where fellow Democrat Ronnie Musgrove took 45.81% of the vote. Hood flipped the counties of Chickasaw, Lafayette, Madison, Panola, and Warren, which had all voted for Republican Donald Trump in the 2016 United States presidential election.Uniquely among the states, the Constitution of Mississippi establishes a sort of Electoral College at the state level, for the election of Governor. Article 5, Section 140 of the state constitution states that each state House district is assigned an electoral vote, and that a candidate running for governor must receive a majority of electoral votes in addition to winning a majority of the popular vote in order to be elected governor. Article 5, Section 141 of the state constitution states that if no candidate wins both a popular and electoral vote majority, the state House of Representatives is assigned to decide the winner, choosing from the two highest popular vote winners. This provision came into play only one time in the state's history; Democratic candidate Ronnie Musgrove in the 1999 gubernatorial election garnered a plurality, but not a majority; the House selected Musgrove.
In the lead-up to the election, controversy emerged over these constitutional provisions establishing a state system of electoral votes, with a federal lawsuit claiming the provisions are racially biased. These provisions were put in place with the 1890 Mississippi Constitution, itself established by the segregationist Redeemers and overturning the Reconstruction-era 1868 Constitution, as part of Jim Crow Era policy to minimize the power of African Americans in politics. Because of this, as well as present gerrymandering that packs African Americans into a small number of districts, the plaintiffs claim the provisions should be struck down on the basis of racial bias.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Tate Reeves, Lieutenant Governor of Mississippi
Eliminated in runoff
- Bill Waller Jr., former Chief Justice of the Mississippi State Supreme Court and son of former Democratic Governor William "Bill" Waller. Sr.
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Foster, Mississippi State Representative
Withdrawn
- Hal Marx, Mayor of Petal
Declined
- Thomas Duff, businessman
- Lynn Fitch, Mississippi State Treasurer
- Gerard Gibert, businessman and lottery board member
- Philip Gunn, Speaker of the Mississippi House of Representatives
- Trent Lott, former U.S. Senator
- Chris McDaniel, Mississippi State Senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2018
- Mike Randolph, Presiding Justice of the Mississippi State Supreme Court
- Andy Taggart, former Chief Of Staff to Governor Kirk Fordice
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Lynn Fitch | Tate Reeves | Undecided |
| February 15–17, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 12% | 21% | 67% | |
| December 13–15, 2017 | 400 | ± 5.0% | 18% | 37% | 45% |
Results
Runoff
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Jim Hood, Mississippi Attorney General
Eliminated in primary
- Michael Brown
- William Bond Compton Jr., candidate for Governor of Mississippi in 2007 and 2011, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014, nominee for the Mississippi House of Representatives in the 83rd district in 2015
- Robert J. Ray
- Robert Shuler Smith, Hinds County District Attorney
- Gregory Wash
- Velesha Williams, former director for the Metro Jackson Community Prevention Coalition and former U.S. Army officer
- Albert Wilson, businessman and community organizer
Withdrawn
- Phillip West, former state representative and former mayor of Natchez
Declined
- Anthony Witherspoon, mayor of Magnolia
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Jim Hood | Lumumba | Undecided |
| January 29, 2018 | 2,145 | ± 1.8% | 49% | 27% | 23% |
Results
Other Candidates
Constitution Party
Declared- Bob Hickingbottom
Independents
- David Singletary, U.S. Air Force veteran and former hotel owner
General election
Predictions
Debates
Endorsements
Polling
;with Tate Reeves, Jim Hood, and Bill Waller Jr.| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Tate Reeves | Jim Hood | Bill Waller Jr. | Undecided |
| January 30 – February 1, 2019 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 38% | 40% | 9% | 13% |
;with Bill Waller Jr. and Jim Hood
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Bill Waller Jr. | Jim Hood | David Singletary | Undecided |
| July 2–16, 2019 | 1,171 | ± 4.2% | 53% | 41% | – | 6% | |
| June 10–14, 2019 | 610 | ± 4.0% | 43% | 36% | 4% | 17% |