2008 United States Senate election in Kentucky
The 2008 United States Senate election in Kentucky was held on November 4, 2008. Minority Leader and incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Mitch McConnell won re-election to a fifth term. Although Barack Obama lost Kentucky by a 16.22% margin to John McCain in the presidential election which occurred simultaneously, McConnell more narrowly kept his seat with a 5.94% margin against businessman Bruce Lunsford. This was a greatly reduced margin from when he won re-election in 2002 with a 29.4% margin.
Background
In 2007 Kentucky's unpopular Republican Governor, Ernie Fletcher, lost his re-election bid. The Democrats took control of both Houses of Congress in the 2006 mid-term elections and in October Chuck Schumer acknowledged they were aiming for McConnell's seat.State auditor Crit Luallen was considered a top contender for the Democratic nomination, but she decided to remain as auditor. Lunsford was asked to run by Kentucky Governor Steve Beshear. Seven candidates competed for the Democratic Primary nomination. The primaries for both parties took place on May 20, 2008 in which Lunsford took more than 50%.
Republican primary
Candidates
- Daniel Essek
- Mitch McConnell, incumbent U.S. Senator
Results
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Michael Cassaro
- Greg Fischer, businessman, Mayor of Louisville
- Bruce Lunsford, former Kentucky Secretary of Commerce and candidate for Governor in 2003 and 2007
- James Rice
- Kenneth Stepp
- David Williams
- David Wylie
Results
General election
Candidates
- Bruce Lunsford, businessman
- Mitch McConnell, incumbent U.S. Senator
Campaign
A debate scheduled for October 7 hosted by the League of Women Voters was canceled when incumbent McConnell decided not to participate even though Lunsford announced he wanted to debate.
On November 2, 2008, media outlets such as The Wall Street Journal noted that the website of The New Republic had reported that anti-McConnell flyers questioning the senator's sexuality as well as the reasons for his 1967 military discharge were being distributed in Kentucky.
Predictions
CQ Politics rated this race as 'Republican Favored', but later rated it 'Leans Republican'. The Cook Political Report considered it 'Lean Republican'.The Rothenberg Political Report once considered it a 'Clear Advantage for Incumbent Party' but later called the race 'Narrow Advantage for Incumbent Party'.
Polling
Results
Results breakdown
| County | Precincts | Reporting | Lunsford | % Lunsford | McConnell | % McConnell | Total |
| Adair | 16 | 16 | 2,198 | 30.88% | 4,920 | 69.12% | 7,118 |
| Allen | 13 | 13 | 2,331 | 31.85% | 4,987 | 68.15% | 7,318 |
| Anderson | 14 | 14 | 4,787 | 46.27% | 5,558 | 53.73% | 10,345 |
| Ballard | 13 | 13 | 1,893 | 46.68% | 2,162 | 53.32% | 4,055 |
| Barren | 24 | 24 | 6,735 | 41.15% | 9,630 | 58.85% | 16,365 |
| Bath | 12 | 12 | 2,747 | 61.36% | 1,730 | 38.64% | 4,477 |
| Bell | 33 | 33 | 3,494 | 38.83% | 5,505 | 61.17% | 8,999 |
| Boone | 60 | 60 | 15,224 | 30.75% | 34,285 | 69.25% | 49,509 |
| Bourbon | 18 | 18 | 4,325 | 52.26% | 3,951 | 47.74% | 8,276 |
| Boyd | 47 | 47 | 11,174 | 54.23% | 9,430 | 45.77% | 20,604 |
| Boyle | 25 | 25 | 5,854 | 46.90% | 6,627 | 53.10% | 12,481 |
| Bracken | 8 | 8 | 1,382 | 41.17% | 1,975 | 58.83% | 3,357 |
| Breathitt | 21 | 21 | 3,111 | 61.41% | 1,955 | 38.59% | 5,066 |
| Breckinridge | 15 | 15 | 3,736 | 44.02% | 4,752 | 55.98% | 8,488 |
| Bullitt | 44 | 44 | 12,501 | 41.85% | 17,368 | 58.15% | 29,869 |
| Butler | 12 | 12 | 1,771 | 33.59% | 3,501 | 66.41% | 5,272 |
| Caldwell | 13 | 13 | 2,821 | 46.30% | 3,272 | 53.70% | 6,093 |
| Calloway | 30 | 30 | 6,870 | 45.39% | 8,266 | 54.61% | 15,136 |
| Campbell | 66 | 66 | 14,789 | 37.55% | 24,591 | 62.45% | 39,380 |
| Carlisle | 6 | 6 | 1,220 | 46.51% | 1,403 | 53.49% | 2,623 |
| Carroll | 11 | 11 | 2,157 | 57.23% | 1,612 | 42.77% | 3,769 |
| Carter | 23 | 23 | 5,220 | 53.74% | 4,494 | 46.26% | 9,714 |
| Casey | 15 | 15 | 1,783 | 30.55% | 4,053 | 69.45% | 5,836 |
| Christian | 44 | 44 | 9,030 | 40.79% | 13,109 | 59.21% | 22,139 |
| Clark | 26 | 26 | 7,436 | 48.49% | 7,898 | 51.51% | 15,334 |
| Clay | 20 | 20 | 2,458 | 33.85% | 4,804 | 66.15% | 7,262 |
| Clinton | 13 | 13 | 1,029 | 25.42% | 3,019 | 74.58% | 4,048 |
| Crittenden | 12 | 12 | 1,615 | 41.59% | 2,268 | 58.41% | 3,883 |
| Cumberland | 9 | 9 | 763 | 28.62% | 1,903 | 71.38% | 2,666 |
| Daviess | 84 | 84 | 20,779 | 47.94% | 22,563 | 52.06% | 43,342 |
| Edmonson | 10 | 10 | 1,996 | 38.06% | 3,249 | 61.94% | 5,245 |
| Elliott | 7 | 7 | 1,830 | 71.99% | 712 | 28.01% | 2,542 |
| Estill | 15 | 15 | 2,162 | 41.36% | 3,065 | 58.64% | 5,227 |
| Fayette | 274 | 274 | 68,029 | 54.15% | 57,605 | 45.85% | 125,634 |
| Fleming | 18 | 18 | 2,845 | 50.04% | 2,841 | 49.96% | 5,686 |
| Floyd | 42 | 42 | 10,105 | 64.35% | 5,598 | 35.65% | 15,703 |
| Franklin | 44 | 44 | 13,888 | 59.00% | 9,651 | 41.00% | 23,539 |
| Fulton | 13 | 13 | 1,456 | 53.49% | 1,266 | 46.51% | 2,722 |
| Gallatin | 8 | 8 | 1,435 | 45.66% | 1,708 | 54.34% | 3,143 |
| Garrard | 13 | 13 | 2,858 | 40.11% | 4,268 | 59.89% | 7,126 |
| Grant | 23 | 23 | 3,408 | 39.33% | 5,257 | 60.67% | 8,665 |
| Graves | 30 | 30 | 7,839 | 48.76% | 8,239 | 51.24% | 16,078 |
| Grayson | 23 | 23 | 3,863 | 39.23% | 5,983 | 60.77% | 9,846 |
| Green | 10 | 10 | 1,777 | 35.73% | 3,197 | 64.27% | 4,974 |
| Greenup | 32 | 32 | 8,258 | 52.83% | 7,374 | 47.17% | 15,632 |
| Hancock | 10 | 10 | 2,298 | 56.09% | 1,799 | 43.91% | 4,097 |
| Hardin | 55 | 55 | 17,318 | 43.68% | 22,326 | 56.32% | 39,644 |
| Harlan | 35 | 35 | 4,440 | 45.92% | 5,229 | 54.08% | 9,669 |
| Harrison | 17 | 17 | 3,814 | 50.47% | 3,743 | 49.53% | 7,557 |
| Hart | 19 | 19 | 2,962 | 44.60% | 3,680 | 55.40% | 6,642 |
| Henderson | 42 | 42 | 11,048 | 56.06% | 8,659 | 43.94% | 19,707 |
| Henry | 20 | 20 | 3,194 | 46.52% | 3,672 | 53.48% | 6,866 |
| Hickman | 6 | 6 | 1,049 | 47.49% | 1,160 | 52.51% | 2,209 |
| Hopkins | 40 | 40 | 8,481 | 44.87% | 10,419 | 55.13% | 18,900 |
| Jackson | 14 | 14 | 1,245 | 24.71% | 3,794 | 75.29% | 5,039 |
| Jefferson | 515 | 515 | 195,401 | 55.73% | 155,241 | 44.27% | 350,642 |
| Jessamine | 37 | 37 | 7,847 | 39.60% | 11,969 | 60.40% | 19,816 |
| Johnson | 31 | 31 | 3,252 | 38.81% | 5,128 | 61.19% | 8,380 |
| Kenton | 108 | 108 | 19,217 | 36.26% | 33,787 | 63.74% | 53,004 |
| Knott | 30 | 30 | 3,477 | 62.14% | 2,118 | 37.86% | 5,595 |
| Knox | 30 | 30 | 4,329 | 39.01% | 6,767 | 60.99% | 11,096 |
| LaRue | 12 | 12 | 2,523 | 41.97% | 3,489 | 58.03% | 6,012 |
| Laurel | 45 | 45 | 6,850 | 31.15% | 15,138 | 68.85% | 21,988 |
| Lawrence | 18 | 18 | 2,641 | 47.47% | 2,923 | 52.53% | 5,564 |
| Lee | 10 | 10 | 1,073 | 39.77% | 1,625 | 60.23% | 2,698 |
| Leslie | 17 | 17 | 1,083 | 25.15% | 3,224 | 74.85% | 4,307 |
| Letcher | 32 | 32 | 4,198 | 51.82% | 3,903 | 48.18% | 8,101 |
| Lewis | 14 | 14 | 1,787 | 38.26% | 2,884 | 61.74% | 4,671 |
| Lincoln | 17 | 17 | 4,119 | 45.47% | 4,939 | 54.53% | 9,058 |
| Livingston | 10 | 10 | 2,142 | 47.35% | 2,382 | 52.65% | 4,524 |
| Logan | 20 | 20 | 4,379 | 40.70% | 6,379 | 59.30% | 10,758 |
| Lyon | 6 | 6 | 1,821 | 47.80% | 1,989 | 52.20% | 3,810 |
| McCracken | 54 | 54 | 13,006 | 42.91% | 17,303 | 57.09% | 30,309 |
| McCreary | 18 | 18 | 1,576 | 30.41% | 3,606 | 69.59% | 5,182 |
| McLean | 8 | 8 | 2,225 | 50.55% | 2,177 | 49.45% | 4,402 |
| Madison | 56 | 56 | 14,657 | 45.96% | 17,237 | 54.04% | 31,894 |
| Magoffin | 14 | 14 | 2,719 | 58.81% | 1,904 | 41.19% | 4,623 |
| Marion | 17 | 17 | 4,304 | 57.68% | 3,158 | 42.32% | 7,462 |
| Marshall | 25 | 25 | 7,463 | 48.94% | 7,785 | 51.06% | 15,248 |
| Martin | 14 | 14 | 1,203 | 33.19% | 2,422 | 66.81% | 3,625 |
| Mason | 20 | 20 | 3,095 | 44.58% | 3,847 | 55.42% | 6,942 |
| Meade | 18 | 18 | 5,149 | 46.58% | 5,905 | 53.42% | 11,054 |
| Menifee | 6 | 6 | 1,520 | 61.51% | 951 | 38.49% | 2,471 |
| Mercer | 17 | 17 | 4,338 | 44.17% | 5,484 | 55.83% | 9,822 |
| Metcalfe | 12 | 12 | 1,766 | 44.03% | 2,245 | 55.97% | 4,011 |
| Monroe | 12 | 12 | 1,237 | 27.16% | 3,318 | 72.84% | 4,555 |
| Montgomery | 18 | 18 | 5,526 | 54.25% | 4,660 | 45.75% | 10,186 |
| Morgan | 12 | 12 | 2,475 | 57.03% | 1,865 | 42.97% | 4,340 |
| Muhlenberg | 26 | 26 | 7,436 | 57.90% | 5,406 | 42.10% | 12,842 |
| Nelson | 26 | 26 | 8,823 | 49.60% | 8,965 | 50.40% | 17,788 |
| Nicholas | 5 | 5 | 1,737 | 59.47% | 1,184 | 40.53% | 2,921 |
| Ohio | 25 | 25 | 4,664 | 47.08% | 5,242 | 52.92% | 9,906 |
| Oldham | 34 | 34 | 10,204 | 35.25% | 18,744 | 64.75% | 28,948 |
| Owen | 13 | 13 | 2,019 | 42.93% | 2,684 | 57.07% | 4,703 |
| Owsley | 8 | 8 | 559 | 34.46% | 1,063 | 65.54% | 1,622 |
| Pendleton | 12 | 12 | 2,155 | 37.97% | 3,520 | 62.03% | 5,675 |
| Perry | 37 | 37 | 5,026 | 49.10% | 5,211 | 50.90% | 10,237 |
| Pike | 57 | 57 | 12,912 | 57.16% | 9,679 | 42.84% | 22,591 |
| Powell | 11 | 11 | 2,863 | 57.91% | 2,081 | 42.09% | 4,944 |
| Pulaski | 57 | 57 | 8,108 | 32.20% | 17,072 | 67.80% | 25,180 |
| Robertson | 5 | 5 | 498 | 49.21% | 514 | 50.79% | 1,012 |
| Rockcastle | 14 | 14 | 1,837 | 30.55% | 4,177 | 69.45% | 6,014 |
| Rowan | 18 | 18 | 4,710 | 58.71% | 3,312 | 41.29% | 8,022 |
| Russell | 16 | 16 | 2,450 | 33.67% | 4,827 | 66.33% | 7,277 |
| Scott | 35 | 35 | 9,238 | 47.36% | 10,267 | 52.64% | 19,505 |
| Shelby | 33 | 33 | 7,546 | 41.15% | 10,790 | 58.85% | 18,336 |
| Simpson | 13 | 13 | 3,118 | 44.29% | 3,922 | 55.71% | 7,040 |
| Spencer | 11 | 11 | 3,159 | 39.64% | 4,811 | 60.36% | 7,970 |
| Taylor | 20 | 20 | 4,163 | 38.52% | 6,644 | 61.48% | 10,807 |
| Todd | 13 | 13 | 1,772 | 36.89% | 3,032 | 63.11% | 4,804 |
| Trigg | 14 | 14 | 2,637 | 40.76% | 3,833 | 59.24% | 6,470 |
| Trimble | 12 | 12 | 1,927 | 50.87% | 1,861 | 49.13% | 3,788 |
| Union | 16 | 16 | 3,335 | 55.46% | 2,678 | 44.54% | 6,013 |
| Warren | 63 | 63 | 19,162 | 43.84% | 24,547 | 56.16% | 43,709 |
| Washington | 14 | 14 | 2,316 | 45.04% | 2,826 | 54.96% | 5,142 |
| Wayne | 19 | 19 | 3,045 | 43.30% | 3,987 | 56.70% | 7,032 |
| Webster | 14 | 14 | 3,000 | 54.39% | 2,516 | 45.61% | 5,516 |
| Whitley | 36 | 36 | 4,849 | 36.37% | 8,484 | 63.63% | 13,333 |
| Wolfe | 8 | 8 | 1,886 | 62.74% | 1,120 | 37.26% | 3,006 |
| Woodford | 16 | 16 | 5,903 | 48.65% | 6,231 | 51.35% | 12,134 |