1986 Basque regional election
The 1986 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 30 November 1986, to elect the 3rd Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election.
The Socialist Party of the Basque Country won 19 seats, the Basque Nationalist Party came second with 17 seats, People's Unity and Basque Solidarity, a PNV split, each won 13 seats, and Basque Country Left won 9 seats.
Overview
Electoral system
The Basque Parliament was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution of 1978 and the regional Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari.Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes being applied in each constituency. Parties not reaching the threshold were not taken into consideration for seat distribution. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Guipúzcoa, being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats each to provide for an equal representation of the three provinces in parliament as required under the regional statute of autonomy. This meant that Álava was allocated the same number of seats as Biscay and Gipuzkoa, despite their populations being, as of 1 July 1986: 268,532, 1,181,962 and 690,582, respectively.
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least 500 electors in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.
Election date
The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. An election was required to take place within from thirty-six and forty-five days from the date of expiry of parliament. The previous election was held on 26 February 1984, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 February 1988. The election was required to be held no later than the forty-fifth day from dissolution, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Monday, 11 April 1988.The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament was to be dissolved and a fresh election called.
Opinion polls
The tables below lists opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.;Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. When available, seat projections are also displayed below the voting estimates in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.
;Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
;Victory preference
The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | Other/ None | Lead | |||||||
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None | Lead | ||||||||
| CIS | 20 Nov 1986 | 1,191 | 19.0 | 13.0 | 12.0 | – | 9.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 37.0 | 6.0 |
| CIS | 10 Nov 1986 | 2,077 | 22.0 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | – | 39.0 | 11.0 |
| CIS | 1 Nov 1986 | 2,074 | 21.0 | 10.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 36.0 | 11.0 |
| CIS | 20 Oct 1986 | 2,055 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | – | 9.0 | 1.0 | 38.0 | 7.0 |
| CIS | 10 Oct 1986 | 1,996 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | – | 38.0 | 12.0 |
| CIS | 1 Oct 1986 | 1,755 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 36.0 | 12.0 |
;Victory likelihood
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PNV | Other/ None | Lead | |||||
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None | Lead | ||||||
| CIS | 20 Nov 1986 | 1,191 | 38.0 | 16.0 | 1.0 | – | 2.0 | – | 43.0 | 22.0 |
| CIS | 10 Nov 1986 | 2,077 | 36.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | – | 3.0 | – | 45.0 | 21.0 |
| CIS | 1 Nov 1986 | 2,074 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 2.0 | – | 4.0 | – | 47.0 | 17.0 |
| CIS | 20 Oct 1986 | 2,055 | 32.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 | – | 5.0 | – | 44.0 | 15.0 |
| CIS | 10 Oct 1986 | 1,996 | 35.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | – | 4.0 | 1.0 | 44.0 | 20.0 |
| CIS | 1 Oct 1986 | 1,755 | 31.0 | 19.0 | – | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 42.0 | 12.0 |
;Preferred Lehendakari
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become Lehendakari.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |||||||
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |||||||
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Ardanza | Benegas | Bandrés | Guimón | Viana | Garaiko. | Other/ None/ Not care | Lead | |
| CIS | 20 Nov 1986 | 1,191 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | – | 1.0 | 17.0 | 1.0 | 30.0 | 6.0 |
| CIS | 10 Nov 1986 | 2,077 | 22.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 17.0 | – | 35.0 | 5.0 |
| CIS | 1 Nov 1986 | 2,074 | 22.0 | 10.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 20.0 | – | 34.0 | 2.0 |
| CIS | 20 Oct 1986 | 2,055 | 19.0 | 12.0 | 14.0 | 1.0 | – | 20.0 | – | 34.0 | 1.0 |
| CIS | 10 Oct 1986 | 1,996 | 25.0 | – | – | – | – | 38.0 | – | 27.0 | 13.0 |
| CIS | 10 Oct 1986 | 1,996 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 1.0 | – | 22.0 | – | 36.0 | 3.0 |
| CIS | 1 Oct 1986 | 1,755 | 19.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | – | – | 25.0 | – | 32.0 | 6.0 |